Nick Castellanos (PHI) Under 1.5 Doubles (-588)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The under 1.5 doubles bet for Nick Castellanos is a strong choice given his recent performance data. Over his last five games, Castellanos averages only 0.2 doubles per game overall, at home, and against the Mets, well under the 1.5 line. His hit average is also low, at 0.6 overall and at home, and slightly higher against the Mets at 1.2. Even with a current hit streak of 10 games overall and 3 at home, his double rates remain low. These statistics indicate that while Castellanos is likely to get a hit, it's less probable that he will hit more than one double in the game. Therefore, betting under 1.5 for Castellanos' doubles is a statistically sound choice.

Francisco Lindor (NYM) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-1111)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The rationale for betting on Francisco Lindor for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is based on his recent performance data. Lindor's last five games show an overall stolen base average of zero, both at home and away games. This trend continues when facing the Philadelphia Phillies, with a stolen base average of zero. Additionally, he has an average of zero caught stealing in his last five games, indicating a lack of attempts to steal bases. Despite having a good hit streak, Lindor's statistics do not show a propensity for stealing bases. Therefore, based on this data, the Under 0.5 bet is a logical choice, as it aligns with Lindor's recent performances.

Brandon Marsh (PHI) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-1000)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Brandon Marsh for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a solid choice based on his recent performance. Over the last five games, Marsh has an average stolen base count of zero, both overall and at home. This trend continues when looking at his performance against the Mets, where his average stolen base count is just 0.2. Furthermore, Marsh has not been caught stealing in any of his recent games, indicating a conservative base running strategy. Despite his impressive hit streak, this has not translated into stolen bases. Therefore, the statistical data suggests a low likelihood of Marsh stealing a base in the upcoming game, making the Under 0.5 bet a statistically sound choice.

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