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Model picks & player props
MLB
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia
Outdoor
Tue 22 Jul 2025, 6:45 PM ET
Boston Red Sox
VS
Philadelphia Phillies

Boston Red Sox vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction & Picks

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

0
Game markets graded
8
Props graded
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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Player props & full board
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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Boston Red Sox

  • Caleb Durbin 3BOut
  • Garrett Whitlock RPOut
  • Roman Anthony LFOut
  • Tyron Guerrero RPOut
  • Masataka Yoshida DHOut
  • Mickey Gasper DHOut
  • Romy Gonzalez DHDay-to-day
  • Justin Slaten RPOut
  • Eli White CFOut
  • Johan Oviedo SPOut
  • Kutter Crawford SPOut
  • Eduardo Rivera SPOut
  • Triston Casas 1BOut
  • Zack Kelly RPOut

Philadelphia Phillies

  • Caleb Kilian RPOut
  • Felix Reyes LFOut
  • Brad Keller RPOut
  • Johan Rojas CFOut
  • Adolis Garcia RFOut
Availability updated Oct 11, 3:12PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Boston Red Sox vs Philadelphia Phillies: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 19 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability19 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Cristopher Sanchez PHI Pitcher - Walks
Cristopher Sanchez PHI Pitcher - Strikeouts
Walker Buehler BOS Pitcher - Strikeouts
Zack Wheeler PHI Pitcher - Walks
Bryson Stott PHI Batter - Stolen Bases

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylinePhiladelphia PhilliesNo line posted
1-4L5 record
L5 RF2.4L5 RA5.4Home L52-3vs Boston Red Sox L52-3

Philadelphia Phillies moneyline form: last five 1-4, 2.4 runs/gm.

Run LinePhiladelphia Phillies run lineNo line posted
1-4L5 record
L5 RF2.4L5 RA5.4Home L52-3vs Boston Red Sox L52-3

Philadelphia Phillies spread form: last five 1-4, 2.4 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Philadelphia Phillies vs Boston Red SoxNo line posted

Philadelphia Phillies total runs form: last five 1-4, 2.4 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsPhiladelphia Phillies team totalNo line posted
3.1runs we expect
L5 RF2.4L5 RA5.4Home L52-3vs Boston Red Sox L52-3

Philadelphia Phillies team total runs form: last five 1-4, 2.4 runs/gm.

Boston Red Sox @ Philadelphia Phillies — what the model found

Our model graded 8 betting markets for Boston Red Sox at Philadelphia Phillies — 0 on the game itself and 8 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

8
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 8 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 7 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Boston Red Sox vs Philadelphia Phillies — recent results

Philadelphia Phillies have won 2 of their last 5 games; Boston Red Sox have won 2 of their last 5.

Philadelphia Phillies — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L2–6ATLAway
W4–3ATLAway
L3–5ATLAway
W7–3TBHome
L1–12TBHome
Boston Red Sox — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L2–9NYYAway
L0–9NYYAway
L2–6CHCHome
W2–0CHCHome
W4–3CHCHome

Boston Red Sox vs Philadelphia Phillies — recent meetings

These two have met 5 times recently: Philadelphia Phillies won 3, Boston Red Sox won 2.

DatePhiladelphia PhilliesBoston Red SoxWinner
May 1431Philadelphia Phillies
May 1313Boston Red Sox
May 1221Philadelphia Phillies
Mar 935Boston Red Sox
Mar 562Philadelphia Phillies

Who’s out or in doubt

19 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Philadelphia Phillies
PlayerStatus
Caleb Kilian RPOUT
Felix Reyes LFOUT
Brad Keller RPOUT
Johan Rojas CFOUT
Adolis Garcia RFOUT
Boston Red Sox
PlayerStatus
Caleb Durbin 3BOUT
Garrett Whitlock RPOUT
Roman Anthony LFOUT
Tyron Guerrero RPOUT
Masataka Yoshida DHOUT
Mickey Gasper DHOUT
Romy Gonzalez DHDAY-TO-DAY
Justin Slaten RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Boston Red Sox @ Philadelphia Phillies — model preview

Deep dive into Philadelphia Phillies vs Boston Red Sox MLB game. Find value betting opportunities. Includes analysis on key players like Walker Buehler. Check out MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, Philadelphia Phillies vs Boston Red Sox stats and odds.

Walker Buehler (BOS) Over 2.5 Strikeouts (-500)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Walker Buehler for Over 2.5 in the Pitcher Strikeouts market is backed by his consistent performance. His last five overall games show an average of 5.2 strikeouts, which is more than double the line set for this bet. Even when playing away, his average remains above the line at 4 strikeouts. His current hit streak, both overall and away, stands at 5 games, suggesting a strong performance continuity. Although his average strikeouts drop slightly to 3 when facing the Phillies, it still surpasses the set line. Given this data, Buehler's track record indicates a high probability of achieving more than 2.5 strikeouts in the upcoming game, making this bet a statistically sound choice.

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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Boston Red Sox vs Philadelphia Phillies in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Sox vs Phillies, or as Phillies vs Sox. The most recent game between them was Tuesday 22 July 2025 at Citizens Bank Park. The model has generated 8 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Boston Red Sox vs Philadelphia Phillies head-to-head record

Final scores · 20 meetings on record
Even at 10–10 across the last 20 meetings · these games average 10.1 runs (meetings on record since 2023)

Last meeting: Thu 14 May 2026, Philadelphia Phillies at Boston Red Sox: the Phillies won 3-1.

DateGameScoreWinner
14 May 2026Philadelphia Phillies @ Boston Red Sox1–3Philadelphia Phillies
13 May 2026Philadelphia Phillies @ Boston Red Sox3–1Boston Red Sox
12 May 2026Philadelphia Phillies @ Boston Red Sox1–2Philadelphia Phillies
9 Mar 2026Philadelphia Phillies @ Boston Red Sox5–3Boston Red Sox
5 Mar 2026Boston Red Sox @ Philadelphia Phillies6–2Philadelphia Phillies
23 Jul 2025Boston Red Sox @ Philadelphia Phillies8–9Boston Red Sox
22 Jul 2025Boston Red Sox @ Philadelphia Phillies4–1Philadelphia Phillies
21 Jul 2025Boston Red Sox @ Philadelphia Phillies3–2Philadelphia Phillies
11 Mar 2025Philadelphia Phillies @ Boston Red Sox8–18Philadelphia Phillies
28 Feb 2025Boston Red Sox @ Philadelphia Phillies7–5Philadelphia Phillies

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 20 meetings on file.

Today's selected board

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