Mario Piazzon vs Guilherme Uriel Prediction & Picks: High-Value Opportunity

On Tuesday 25 August 2026, Mario Piazzon takes on Guilherme Uriel in the UFC. Our model likes one bet here. The one it likes most is Mario Piazzon to Win, priced at +185 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Mario Piazzon to Win (+185)

For Mario Piazzon to win tonight, he needs to outstrike Guilherme Uriel and avoid getting taken down. Piazzon is an underdog, but our numbers show he has a real chance against Uriel. Piazzon's striking skills can give him the advantage if he can keep the fight standing and land clean punches. The main risk is that Uriel could take him down and control the fight on the ground. Overall, Piazzon has the tools to pull off the upset, making this a solid bet. It was priced at +185 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $28.50 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

The tale of the tape:

• Mario Piazzon: last five W, on a 1-fight win streak, 0% of career wins came by knockout, 1063 days since the last fight
• Guilherme Uriel: last five L, dropped the last 1, 0% of career wins came by knockout, 370 days since the last fight

That is how our model reads Mario Piazzon v Guilherme Uriel. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.