Winning baseball bets for Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres? We break down odds and insights. Featuring picks like NA props. Explore same game parlay, SGP picks, MLB parlay odds, baseball parlay.
Mookie Betts (LAD) Under 1.5 Doubles (-1250)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
As the Dodgers gear up to face the Padres, all eyes should be on Mookie Betts, but not for the reasons you might think. Sure, Betts has been a dynamic force, but when it comes to doubles, the numbers suggest a different narrative. Facing a Padres pitching staff that has tightened up recently, particularly against right-handed hitters, Betts may find it tough to find gaps. He’s been held under 1.5 doubles more often than not in recent matchups against San Diego, with their pitchers effectively limiting hard contact. Additionally, while Betts is a perennial threat, the Dodgers' batting order has seen a slight dip in overall doubles production, contributing to a more conservative approach lately. The combination of these factors paints a compelling case for taking the under on Betts’ doubles. With the model predicting just 0.13 doubles, it seems the odds are stacked in favor of this outcome.
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
As the Dodgers gear up to face the Padres, all eyes will be on Dalton Rushing, but it seems this matchup might not favor his ability to draw walks. Over the past month, the Padres' pitching staff has tightened up significantly, boasting a strikeout-to-walk ratio that’s among the best in the league. With Rushing's plate discipline still maturing, he’s facing a team that rarely gives free passes, allowing just 2.5 walks per nine innings. Moreover, Rushing has tallied only a handful of walks in his recent games, often swinging aggressively at pitches that might have tempted him to take a pitch earlier in the season. Add in the fact that the Dodgers are firing on all cylinders offensively, it’s likely they’ll be putting the ball in play rather than waiting for a walk. Given these trends, the under on Rushing's walks feels like the smart play in this Sunday showdown.
Kyle Tucker (HOU) Under 1.5 Walks (-323)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
As the Dodgers gear up to host the Padres, all eyes should be on Kyle Tucker’s ability to draw walks. While he has shown some plate discipline this season, recent trends suggest he might struggle to get on base through free passes today. Tucker has averaged just 0.21 walks per game, which is quite a contrast to the 1.5 line set for him against a Padres pitching staff that has tightened its grip lately. San Diego's bullpen has been effective at minimizing walks, boasting a league-average rate of around 7% in free passes. Plus, with the Dodgers’ potent lineup likely putting pressure on the pitching, Tucker might find himself swinging more than waiting for that elusive ball. Given these dynamics, betting on Tucker to stay under 1.5 walks feels like a smart move. It’s a classic case of the numbers aligning with the narrative of the game.
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