Nikola Jokic (Denver Nuggets) Under 24.5 Rebounds + Assists (-110)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Denver Nuggets gear up to face the San Antonio Spurs, all eyes will be on Nikola Jokic, but betting on him to go under 24.5 combined rebounds and assists could be the smart play. Despite his remarkable talent, Jokic's last five outings have seen him average 17 rebounds and 13.6 assists, comfortably trailing that 24.5 mark. At home, he's logged 14.6 boards and 12.4 dimes, but it's worth noting he tends to dial it back against the Spurs, averaging just 12 rebounds and 8.8 assists at home against them recently. The Nuggets are solid favorites, and with their deep roster, Jokic might not need to rack up those numbers as they control the game. Given that he's hit this under in 6 of his last 11 home games, it feels like a compelling angle as Denver looks to secure an easy win.

Luke Kornet (San Antonio Spurs) Over 9.5 Points + Rebounds (-112)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the San Antonio Spurs gear up to face the Denver Nuggets, Luke Kornet is a player to keep an eye on. While his recent averages of 6.8 points and 5.6 rebounds might seem modest, his performance against the Nuggets tells a different story. Kornet has hit the Over on points and rebounds in four out of his last five games, and he's been particularly effective on the road, hitting the mark three out of four times. Against Denver, he's averaged 5.2 points and 3 rebounds, but with the Nuggets' defense focused on limiting San Antonio's top scorers, Kornet could see increased opportunities. Given that his expected stat value hovers around 13, taking the Over 9.5 feels right. He's stepping into a game where he can make his mark, and with the Spurs needing every point and board, Kornet is poised to deliver.

Nikola Jokic (Denver Nuggets) Under 13.5 Rebounds (-120)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Denver Nuggets host the San Antonio Spurs, all eyes will be on Nikola Jokic, but betting on him to fall under 13.5 rebounds could be a savvy move. Despite his phenomenal averages, Jokic's recent performances against the Spurs suggest a potential dip. Over his last five matchups with San Antonio, he's averaging just 12.6 boards, and at home, that number drops to 12. While he's been a rebounding powerhouse overall, with 17 boards in his last five games, the context matters. The Spurs play at a pace that might limit his opportunities on the glass. Plus, Jokic has hit this under in 4 of his last 5 matchups at home against San Antonio. With a model edge indicating he's expected to grab only around 12.35, the under feels like a well-calibrated bet worth considering this Saturday.

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