On Monday 31 August 2026, Dallas Wings play Connecticut Sun in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Connecticut Sun +13.5 on the Line, priced at +108 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Connecticut Sun +13.5 on the Line (+108)

Odds available at BetRivers at time of publishing

The Connecticut Sun need to keep the game close against the Dallas Wings. The Sun have struggled recently, winning only 3 of their last 10 games, but they have a good chance tonight. They allow fewer threes and give up fewer rebounds compared to the Wings, which could help them limit Dallas's scoring. Plus, they have a travel advantage, playing less distance than the Wings. The biggest risk is that the Wings have been winning more often lately, but if the Sun can play tough defense, they should cover the spread. It was priced at +108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20.80 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Over 165.5 Total Points (-108)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

The Dallas Wings have won five of their last ten games, showing some solid scoring lately. They tend to allow a decent number of three-point attempts, which can lead to higher scoring games. On the other hand, the Connecticut Sun have struggled, winning only three of their last ten. However, they also give up a fair amount of rebounds, which can lead to extra opportunities for the Wings. With both teams having a close battle for points, betting on over 165.5 total points seems like a good call. The expected combined total is about 168.1, which adds a bit of excitement. Just remember, the Sun's recent form might hold them back a little, so it could be a tight race to the finish. It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.30 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Awak Kuier Under 8.5 Points (-110)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Awak Kuier is facing a tough matchup against the Connecticut Sun, who have been solid on defense lately. The Sun usually allow fewer three-point shots than the league average, and they've been good at grabbing rebounds too. With both teams struggling to find their rhythm lately, this game could become a defensive battle. Betting on Kuier to score under 8.5 points seems smart here. While she has potential, the Sun's defense could limit her chances. Plus, the Wings have only won 5 of their last 10 games, which shows they're not firing on all cylinders right now. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Paige Bueckers Under 21.5 Points (-109)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

The odds for Paige Bueckers to score under 21.5 points look solid. The Dallas Wings have let opponents shoot a lot of threes, but they also keep rebounds in check better than most teams, which can limit extra scoring chances. Meanwhile, the Connecticut Sun have struggled recently, winning only 3 of their last 10 games, and that might affect their overall scoring flow. Bueckers has been facing some tough defenses, and with the Sun allowing fewer rebounds than many other teams, it could be tough for her to get those extra points. The biggest risk here is that Bueckers can always surprise us with a big game when she gets hot. But overall, it seems like a good spot for her to stay under that points mark. It was priced at -109 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.20 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Saniya Rivers Under 11.5 Points and Rebounds (-108)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Saniya Rivers has been pretty inconsistent lately, which makes this pick interesting. In her last ten games, she hasn't scored more than one three-pointer or grabbed more than two rebounds in one game. That kind of up-and-down performance makes it tough to rely on her to hit the over for points and rebounds combined. The Dallas Wings are also solid on defense, allowing fewer rebounds per game than the league average. Even though the Connecticut Sun are struggling with their own game, the matchup doesn't favor Rivers to break out. This one could easily go either way, and the most concrete risk is how unpredictable Rivers has been lately. It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.30 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Dallas Wings v Connecticut Sun. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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