Cooper Flagg (Dallas Mavericks) Under 35.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-118)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Dallas Mavericks gear up to face the Orlando Magic, all eyes will be on rookie sensation Cooper Flagg. However, betting on the under for his combined points, rebounds, and assists at 35.5 feels like a savvy play. Flagg has been impressive, but let's not forget that in the last three games, he's hit the over, yet his overall home hit rate stands at 12 out of 20. This suggests a blend of inconsistency and the pressure of home expectations.Moreover, the expected stat value of just 30.08 hints that Flagg may struggle to reach that lofty number against the determined Magic defense. With an implied probability of 54.1% for the under, it's clear the numbers support a cautious approach. Given the stakes and matchups, taking the under could be the smart move in what promises to be a competitive showdown.

Paolo Banchero (Orlando Magic) Under 31.5 Points + Rebounds (-110)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As Paolo Banchero steps onto the court against the Dallas Mavericks, keep an eye on that points plus rebounds total set at 31.5. While Banchero has shined recently, averaging 21 points and nearly 7.4 rebounds over his last five games, the matchup in Dallas presents a unique challenge. Historically, he's averaged just 22 points and 6.4 rebounds in away games, with his numbers dipping against this Mavericks squad.The numbers reveal an interesting trend: when playing on the road against the Mavs, his combined output has been below this threshold, with 27 points and 6 rebounds being his recent average. With the Mavericks' defensive schemes aimed at limiting his effectiveness, targeting the under makes sense. Banchero's recent form might tempt some, but the data suggests a tighter game here, making the under a savvy play for this matchup.

Franz Wagner (Orlando Magic) Over 18.5 Points + Rebounds (-114)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Franz Wagner is poised for a standout performance against the Mavericks, and here's why targeting him for over 18.5 points and rebounds makes perfect sense. Despite averaging 12.6 points and 3.2 rebounds in his last five games, he has kicked it up a notch on the road, posting averages of 15.6 points and 5.4 rebounds away from home. When facing Dallas, he's been particularly effective, scoring an average of 17.6 points against them. Moreover, Wagner has hit the over in 15 of his last 20 games and an impressive 18 out of the last 20 away contests. With an expected stat value just shy of 22, he seems primed to exceed that 18.5 threshold. The Mavericks will need to account for his scoring ability, and I believe Wagner's going to capitalize on this opportunity, making that over bet a compelling choice.

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