Nico Hoerner (CHC) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-200)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Cubs prepare to host the Twins, Nico Hoerner’s recent form raises some eyebrows. While he boasts a solid batting average, his performances at the plate have been inconsistent, particularly against right-handed pitching—something the Twins will present with their ace on the mound. Over the last few weeks, Hoerner has struggled to find gaps, averaging just under 0.8 total bases per game, which aligns closely with our expectations for today’s matchup. The Twins, known for their sharp pitching, have limited opposing hitters, especially in their last few series. Given that Hoerner tends to be a contact hitter rather than a power threat, the odds of him achieving more than 1.5 total bases against this formidable lineup are slim. With the wind swirling at Wrigley and the Twins' recent ability to stifle offensive production, taking the under on Hoerner’s total bases feels like a savvy play today.

Trevor Larnach (MIN) Under 0.5 Hits (-141)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Cubs take on the Twins this Sunday, all eyes will be on Trevor Larnach, but the smart money leans toward him staying hitless. Larnach has struggled recently, batting just .220 over the last two weeks, and with a Cubs pitching staff that has been surprisingly effective at home, it could be another tough day for him at the plate. Chicago's pitchers are averaging a solid 3.50 ERA at Wrigley, and they’ve been particularly adept at neutralizing left-handed hitters like Larnach, holding them to a mere .230 average. Moreover, Larnach's tendency to chase pitches outside the zone could play right into the hands of the Cubs’ crafty arms. With these trends in mind, betting the “Under” on Larnach’s hits seems prudent, especially considering the implied probability suggests a higher likelihood of him going hitless than not.

Pete Crow-Armstrong (NA) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-156)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Cubs prepare to face the Twins, keep a close eye on Pete Crow-Armstrong’s performance expectations. While the young outfielder has shown flashes of brilliance, recent trends suggest he might struggle to clear the 1.5 total bases mark today. The Twins' pitching staff has been formidable, particularly against left-handed hitters, limiting them to a mere .240 average over the last month. Moreover, Crow-Armstrong’s recent at-bats reveal a concerning pattern—he’s been striking out more frequently, which could lead to fewer opportunities for extra-base hits. The Cubs' lineup, while potent, may find it tough to capitalize against a pitcher like Sonny Gray, who has been efficiently navigating through lineups and boasting a 2.75 ERA this season. Given these dynamics, betting on Crow-Armstrong to finish under 1.5 total bases feels like the smart play for this matchup.

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