Here are our Tennis picks for Sunday 2 August 2026. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is James Duckworth vs Christopher O'Connell: James Duckworth to win the match, priced at +144 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

James Duckworth vs Christopher O'Connell: James Duckworth to win the match (+144)

Odds available at pinnacle at time of publishing

James Duckworth faces Christopher O'Connell at Canadian Open on Sunday 2 August 2026. They are playing on a hard court. This is a match winner bet, so it lands if James Duckworth wins the match. It was priced at +144 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $24.40 if it lands. Our model likes this one a lot. James Duckworth presents significant value at 2.44 against Christopher O'Connell, with a model probability suggesting a strong likelihood of victory at 69.34%. Duckworth's recent form shows a 60% win rate in his last five matches, indicating solid competitive performance. On hard courts, he boasts a first-serve percentage of 57.96% and wins 65.27% of his first serve points. Additionally, he effectively converts on break points with a 63.05% save rate, showcasing resilience under pressure. His average ace rate of 11.18% suggests he can earn free points, reducing the strain on his service games. O'Connell’s form and serve stats are untested here, presenting an opportunity for Duckworth to capitalize on any weaknesses. With both a favorable head-to-head model and his superior serve metrics, Duckworth is the clear value side in this matchup.

Adam Walton vs Jenson Brooksby: Jenson Brooksby to win the match (-132)

Odds available at pinnacle at time of publishing

Adam Walton faces Jenson Brooksby at Canadian Open on Monday 3 August 2026. They are playing on a hard court. This is a match winner bet, so it lands if Jenson Brooksby wins the match. It was priced at -132 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $17.60 if it lands. Our model likes this one a lot. Jenson Brooksby presents significant value at 1.76 against Adam Walton due to his superior recent form and serve performance on hard courts. Brooksby boasts an impressive 80% win rate in his last five matches, indicating strong consistency. His average first serve percentage of 70.43% and first points won rate of 65.28% demonstrate his effectiveness in securing service games, critical on hard surfaces. Additionally, he has a solid 62.43% break point save percentage, showcasing resilience under pressure. In contrast, Walton's serve statistics are not available, which raises concerns about his performance metrics. Brooksby’s ability to dominate key points, combined with his overall hard court proficiency, suggests he is the more reliable player in this matchup.

That is the model's read on today's Tennis card. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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