Here are our Tennis picks for Monday 3 August 2026. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Juncheng Shang vs Andrey Rublev: Andrey Rublev to win the match, priced at -189 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Juncheng Shang vs Andrey Rublev: Andrey Rublev to win the match (-189)
Odds available at matchbook at time of publishing
Juncheng Shang faces Andrey Rublev at Canadian Open on Tuesday 4 August 2026. They are playing on a hard court. This is a match winner bet, so it lands if Andrey Rublev wins the match. It was priced at -189 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.30 if it lands. Our model likes this one a lot. Analyzing recent performance on hard courts, Rublev boasts a first-serve percentage of 62.5% and wins 79.9% of first-serve points, showcasing his strong serving capabilities. His second-serve success rate stands at 49.6%, adding to his overall serve points won at 68.9%. In contrast, Shang's metrics on hard surfaces are untested, with no recorded serve percentages or win rates, leaving him vulnerable. Moreover, Rublev's strong break point save percentage (70%) indicates resilience under pressure, while Shang has not had enough competitive exposure to gauge his response in critical moments. With Rublev exhibiting superior form, a win rate of 100% in his last five matches, and a robust serve performance, he is well-positioned to secure victory in this matchup.
Elina Svitolina vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro: Elina Svitolina to win the match (-222)
Odds available at matchbook at time of publishing
Elina Svitolina faces Jessica Bouzas Maneiro at Canadian Open on Wednesday 5 August 2026. They are playing on a hard court. This is a match winner bet, so it lands if Elina Svitolina wins the match. It was priced at -222 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.50 if it lands. Our model likes this one a lot. Svitolina's recent hard court performance is strong, boasting a first-serve percentage of 52.86% and winning 75.40% of her first-serve points, which significantly outperforms Bouzas Maneiro's averages (51.85% first serve, 64.29% first points won). Additionally, Svitolina excels on pressure points, saving 31.60% of break points compared to her opponent's 33.33% on hard courts. Her ability to win 64.20% of serve points overall further underscores her effectiveness. Conversely, Bouzas Maneiro has underwhelming form, with a 20% win rate in her last five matches. Given these stats, Svitolina is well-positioned to capitalize on her serving strength and experience, making her the clear pick.
Panna Udvardy vs Eva Lys: Eva Lys to win the match (-172)
Odds available at matchbook at time of publishing
Panna Udvardy faces Eva Lys at Canadian Open on Monday 3 August 2026. They are playing on a hard court. This is a match winner bet, so it lands if Eva Lys wins the match. It was priced at -172 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.80 if it lands. Our model likes this one a lot. Eva Lys is the value pick against Panna Udvardy, supported by significant statistical advantages. Lys boasts a strong recent hard-court performance with an impressive 69.08% first-serve percentage and a 53.80% first-point win rate. Additionally, her second-serve points won at 42.56% indicate resilience under pressure. Lys's excellent break point save percentage of 94.23% demonstrates her ability to fend off critical moments effectively. In contrast, Udvardy’s recent form shows a 40% win rate over the last five matches, while her serve statistics remain undeveloped, as indicated by her zero averages across key metrics. Given these data-driven insights, backing Eva Lys at 1.58 presents a strong opportunity for profit.
That is the model's read on today's Tennis card. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
See All Our Picks
You're viewing a preview. Subscribe today to unlock the full article and gain access to all our expert insights and best bets - every single day.
Unlock all picks