Best NBA Parlay Picks Today, Sunday 04/19 (7-Leg) : High Probability Plays

As the Detroit Pistons gear up to face the Orlando Magic, all eyes will be on Cade Cunningham, but let's not overlook the potential for an *under* play on his combined points and assists. Sure, Cunningham is a talent, but recent trends tell a different story. Over the last five games, he's averaged just 14.6 points and 8 assists, translating to a modest 22.6 total-well below that 41.5 mark.Even at home, where he's typically more productive, he's only managed 26.4 points against the Magic in their last meetings. With a stellar hit rate of 4 for 4 on the under, there's a compelling case here. With Cunningham's expected stat value sitting at only 27.22, we're looking at a potential mismatch against a Magic defense that's been solid. The numbers paint a clear picture: the under is not just intriguing but likely a savvy play in this matchup.

Victor Wembanyama (San Antonio Spurs) Under 15.5 Rebounds (-667)

As the San Antonio Spurs gear up to host the Portland Trail Blazers, all eyes will be on Victor Wembanyama, and not just for his spectacular athleticism. While his potential is undeniable, we're looking at the Under 15.5 rebounds for him tonight. Wembanyama's recent home performances reveal a trend-he's averaging just 10.8 boards in his last five games at home. The matchup against Portland doesn't favor him much either; historically, he's pulled down only 9 rebounds per game against them at home. With the Spurs' last nine games showcasing an impressive hit rate of 8/9 for the Under, it's evident the team's system and pace limit Wembanyama's rebounding opportunities. Given these insights, betting on him to fall short of 15.5 rebounds feels like the smart play tonight. Let's ride this trend and see where it takes us!

Cade Cunningham (Detroit Pistons) Under 30.5 Points (-312)

As the Detroit Pistons host the Orlando Magic, all eyes will be on Cade Cunningham-though betting the under on his points might be the savvy move. Cunningham has recently averaged just 14.6 points across his last five games, a stark contrast to the inflated 30.5 point line set for him this time around. Even at home, where he typically performs better, his points average hovers at 18.4. Against the Magic, he's been solid, but that 30.4 average includes earlier season highs; more recent performances show he's likely to fall short of that mark now. With a perfect home hit rate of 16/16 in this scenario, it's clear that Cunningham thrives within a system that's not asking him to shoulder the scoring burden alone. Expect him to be productive, but not at the level that would clear that daunting 30.5 line. The under feels like a smart play here.

Jalen Duren (Detroit Pistons) Under 14.5 Rebounds (-500)

When the Detroit Pistons host the Orlando Magic, a keen eye should be on Jalen Duren's rebounding numbers, specifically targeting him for under 14.5 boards. Duren has been a solid contributor, averaging around 11.2 rebounds at home over his last five games. However, he's been trending slightly downward, with an average of just 9.6 overall during that stretch. Against the Magic, he's pulled down 10.4 rebounds in their recent matchups, which is consistent but not the kind of explosive performance that suggests he'll exceed 14.5. Furthermore, in his last 20 games, Duren has hit this under every single time, and at home, he's perfect in his last 10 attempts. With the statistical expectation hovering around 10.5, the numbers clearly favor this under, making it a smart play as the Pistons look to secure a win.

Cade Cunningham (Detroit Pistons) Under 46.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-263)

As the Pistons gear up to host the Magic, all eyes will be on Cade Cunningham, but perhaps not in the way most expect. While he's undeniably talented, the numbers suggest a dip in production that points to the under on his points, rebounds, and assists total of 46.5. Over the past five games, he's averaged just 14.6 points, 4 rebounds, and 8 assists, far below the mark he needs to hit. Even when playing at home, where he generally performs better, his averages still hover around 18.4 points and 11.6 assists. The matchup against Orlando has historically been tough for him; he averages 26.4 points at home against them, which, while respectable, isn't enough to push him over this line. With a hit rate of 16 for 16 on the under recently, the trend clearly favors a lower output. It's wise to consider the under here.

Jerami Grant (Portland Trail Blazers) Over 8.5 Points (-233)

Jerami Grant is poised to make a significant impact in the upcoming clash against the Spurs, especially with the points line set at a mere 8.5. His recent performance tells a compelling story; averaging 17.4 points over his last five games, including a solid 16.4 away, he's well above this threshold. Notably, Grant has hit the over in four straight games, showcasing not just consistency but an upward trend in scoring.When facing the Spurs, historically, he's averaged 15 points, and while that dips slightly to 12 when away, it's clear he's capable of exceeding 8.5 comfortably. Digging deeper, his away hit rate is an impressive 12 out of 14, reflecting his ability to thrive on the road. With an expected stat value of 17.57, it's hard to see him not surpassing this low line, making the over a smart, confident play.