Best NBA Parlay Picks Today, Sunday 04/19 (7-Leg) : High Probability Plays

Cade Cunningham has been a standout performer for the Detroit Pistons, but as they face the Orlando Magic at home, the under on his combined points and assists feels like the smart play. While he's been averaging a solid 18.4 points and 11.6 assists at home recently, those numbers can be misleading against a Magic team that's tightened up on defense. In his last five games against Orlando, Cunningham has posted an average of just 26.4 points and assists combined. Plus, let's not overlook his recent form: he's hit the under in his last four matches, and with an expected value of just 27.22 for this game, it's clear he may struggle to reach that lofty 41.5 mark. With the Pistons' offense fluctuating, targeting the under on Cunningham is a savvy move as he looks to navigate Orlando's defense.

Victor Wembanyama (San Antonio Spurs) Under 15.5 Rebounds (-667)

As the Spurs gear up to host the Trail Blazers, all eyes will be on Victor Wembanyama, but betting on him to grab over 15.5 rebounds might be a stretch. While the rookie sensation has been a force, he's averaging just 10.8 boards at home over his last five games. Historically, his matchup against Portland has yielded even lower numbers; he's pulled down around 9 rebounds in their past encounters at home. With an impressive home hit rate of 8 out of 9 for unders on rebounds, it's clear that Wembanyama can be contained. The Spurs might lean more on their offensive sets, limiting his rebounding opportunities. Given the trends and his recent performances, backing the under feels like a savvy play. Sometimes, even the most promising talents find a cap on their potential, especially in a matchup that's not as favorable as it seems.

Cade Cunningham (Detroit Pistons) Under 30.5 Points (-312)

As the Detroit Pistons gear up to face the Orlando Magic, all eyes will be on Cade Cunningham. While he's shown flashes of brilliance, we're leaning toward the under on his points total of 30.5. Recent trends tell a compelling story; over his last five games, he's averaged just 14.6 points overall, with a slight uptick to 18.4 at home. Against the Magic, he has historically scored around 26.4 points at home, well below our target. It's also worth noting that Cunningham has hit the under in his last four games, and he's a staggering 16 for 16 in the same category at home. With his expected stat value sitting at a mere 20.5 and a solid implied probability of 75.8% for the under, it's hard to ignore the data. This matchup could have Cunningham pressing against a solid Magic defense, making the under a smart play.

Jalen Duren (Detroit Pistons) Under 14.5 Rebounds (-500)

In the matchup between the Detroit Pistons and Orlando Magic, targeting Jalen Duren for under 14.5 rebounds feels like a savvy play. While he's had some impressive outings at home, averaging 11.2 boards in his last five games, the reality is that he's not consistently hitting that lofty mark against this Magic squad. Duren's overall average of 9.6 rebounds per game is a more telling indicator, and with a recent trend of just 10.4 against Orlando, it's clear that this 14.5 line might be a stretch. Moreover, his remarkable hit rate-20 for 20 in the last 20 games-might suggest he's a rebounding machine, but considering that he's gone under in his last 10 home games, it's evident he's more comfortable below that threshold. With an expected value of 10.5, the under is not just a safe bet; it's a smart one.

Cade Cunningham (Detroit Pistons) Under 46.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-263)

Cade Cunningham has had a solid season, but when we look at the matchup against the Orlando Magic, the numbers suggest a different story. While he's been a dynamic force at home, averaging 18.4 points, 6.4 rebounds, and 11.6 assists over his last five games, there's a pattern that raises eyebrows. His overall contributions have dropped significantly lately, with averages of just 14.6 points, 4 rebounds, and 8 assists in his last five outings. Against the Magic, he's historically found it tough to rack up big numbers, hitting just 26.4 points and 7.8 rebounds at home versus them recently. With his current form and the way the Pistons have been trending, betting the under on 46.5 feels like a smart move. The data indicates a strong likelihood that Cunningham won't hit those combined totals, especially with a hit rate of 16 for 16 on the under in his last home games

Jerami Grant (Portland Trail Blazers) Over 8.5 Points (-233)

As the Portland Trail Blazers gear up to face the San Antonio Spurs, all eyes should be on Jerami Grant. With a current scoring average of 17.4 points over his last five games, Grant is not just hitting his stride; he's been on fire lately, especially on the road. His average drops to 16.4 points away, but let's not overlook that he's cleared 8.5 points in 12 of his last 14 away games. Against the Spurs, he's averaged 15 points in their recent encounters, showcasing his ability to step up in crucial matchups. With a perfect 4-for-4 hit rate in his last outings, the odds are heavily in his favor. Given the implied probability of nearly 70%, betting on Grant to surpass 8.5 points feels like a smart play. Expect him to shine brightly in this matchup, contributing significantly to the Blazers' offense.