Best NBA Parlay Picks Today, Sunday 04/19 (7-Leg) : High Probability Plays

As the Philadelphia 76ers roll into Boston, all eyes will be on Andre Drummond, but betting on him to snag over 13.5 rebounds might not be the smart play. Despite his prowess on the boards, Drummond's recent numbers tell a different story. In his last five outings, he averaged just 11.2 rebounds-down to 9 when playing away from home. Against the Celtics, he's managed only 7.6 rebounds per game in their last five matchups, reinforcing the idea that Boston's frontcourt can limit his effectiveness. With an impressive hit rate of 12 out of 14 on this prop over the last fortnight, it's hard to overlook that this trend shows he's been underwhelming when it counts. The Celtics' defensive schemes and Drummond's away performance make the Under 13.5 a compelling choice here. Bet wisely; the numbers are leaning heavily in favor of the Under.

Cade Cunningham (Detroit Pistons) Under 47.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-312)

Cade Cunningham has been a bright spot for the Pistons, but in this matchup against the Orlando Magic, it might be wise to lean towards the under on his combined points, rebounds, and assists. While he typically shines at home, averaging an impressive 18.4 points and 11.6 assists in his last five games, the total of 47.5 feels a bit inflated given recent trends. Over the last 16 games, he's consistently hit the under, and his overall contributions against Orlando have dipped. Even in his last five matchups with them, he's averaging just 26.4 points at home-a far cry from what's needed to clear this mark. With Cunningham's averages of 14.6 points, 4 rebounds, and 8 assists in recent outings, it seems the under is not just a bet; it's a smart play that respects the data.

Cade Cunningham (Detroit Pistons) Under 30.5 Points (-312)

As the Pistons gear up to face the Magic, all eyes will be on Cade Cunningham, but the smart play here is to consider the under on his points prop at 30.5. While it's tempting to ride the wave of his recent scoring against Orlando, averaging 30.4 points in their last five matchups, context matters. Cunningham's recent form shows he's been more of a facilitator, averaging just 14.6 points across his last five games and 18.4 at home. Moreover, the Pistons have been leaning heavily on team play, and with his last 16 home games yielding a perfect under hit rate, it's evident that scoring over 30.5 may not be in the cards tonight. With an expected stat value of just 20.5, the probability of him staying under is high at 75.8%. Trust the numbers; this under could be a golden opportunity as Cunningham looks to contribute in other ways.

Jalen Duren (Detroit Pistons) Under 14.5 Rebounds (-500)

Jalen Duren finds himself in a compelling matchup against the Orlando Magic, but betting on him to grab over 14.5 rebounds might be a stretch. Despite his undeniable talent, he's averaged just 9.6 boards in his last five games, and even at home, he's only managing 11.2. The trend against the Magic doesn't offer much confidence either, as he's averaged precisely 10.4 rebounds in their recent encounters. What's particularly telling is his impeccable track record-20 straight games hitting the Under on this number. The numbers suggest he's more likely to hover around that 10-rebound mark. With the implied probability of hitting the Under sitting at a robust 83.3%, it's hard to ignore the data. Duren's performance at home has been solid, but betting on him to exceed that hefty 14.5 feels risky. Instead, the smart play is to lean into the Under.

Victor Wembanyama (San Antonio Spurs) Under 14.5 Rebounds (-400)

As Victor Wembanyama takes the court against the Portland Trail Blazers, there's a compelling case to bet on him going under 14.5 rebounds. While he's been a force on the boards, averaging 14 rebounds over his last five games, the nuances of this matchup suggest a different outcome. At home, his numbers dip to about 10.8 rebounds, and historically, he's pulled down just 9 boards against the Trail Blazers in their recent encounters.Moreover, Wembanyama's home hit rate shines at 8 out of 9 games, yet this tells us he's not consistently reaching those lofty rebound totals. With an expected stat value around 10.67, it seems the odds are stacked against him surpassing that 14.5 mark tonight. Given these trends, the under looks like a savvy play as he navigates a defensive-minded Portland team.

Jerami Grant (Portland Trail Blazers) Over 8.5 Points (-233)

When the Portland Trail Blazers hit the court against the San Antonio Spurs, all eyes should be on Jerami Grant, especially when it comes to his scoring. With an average of 17.4 points over his last five games, Grant is not just finding the rim; he's consistently exceeding expectations. The trend becomes even more pronounced away from home, where he's averaging 16.4 points per game. Consider this: Grant has not only found his rhythm, but he's also hit the over on 8.5 points in 12 of his last 14 away games. The Spurs, who have struggled defensively against forwards, may very well be the perfect matchup for him. Given his robust form, an expected stat value of nearly 18 points, and a recent hit rate of 100% over his last four games, betting on Grant to soar past that 8.5 mark feels like a no-brainer.