Best NBA Parlay Picks Today, Saturday 04/18 (5-Leg) Featuring Moussa Diabate!: High Probability Plays

As the Phoenix Suns gear up to face the Golden State Warriors, targeting Jalen Green for under 24.5 points feels like a savvy move. Despite his scoring potential, Green has averaged just 20 points over his last five outings, and even less against the Warriors, clocking in at only 9.6 points in their recent matchups. Playing at home, he slightly ups his game to 20.4 points, but the Suns' team dynamics indicate he won't be the primary scoring option tonight. With an impressive 14 out of his last 17 home games hitting the under, the trends are firmly in our favor. Add to that the expected stat value of just 14.91 points, and it's clear that this line is set too high. Given the Warriors' defensive intensity, it's hard to envision Green breaking through for a big night.

Draymond Green (Golden State Warriors) Under 7.5 Assists (-278)

As the Warriors gear up to face the Suns, all eyes will be on Draymond Green, but not necessarily for his playmaking prowess. While he's averaged around 8 assists recently, a closer look at the matchup reveals a different story. Over the last five games, he's only managed 6.6 assists on the road, and against the Suns, that number dips significantly to just 3.4. With the intensity of playoff basketball, teams often clamp down on playmakers, and Green's assist numbers reflect that trend. He's hit the under on this prop in 13 of his last 17 away games, which is a telling stat given the Suns' defensive prowess. With an expected stat value of 4.6, taking the under on 7.5 assists feels like a savvy move. The numbers suggest a low output, and in this high-stakes environment, it's hard to see him breaking past that mark.

Desmond Bane (Orlando Magic) Under 32.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-270)

As the Orlando Magic gear up to face the Charlotte Hornets, Desmond Bane's recent performance suggests a solid case for taking the under on his combined points, rebounds, and assists at 32.5. In his last five games, Bane has averaged 17.4 points, 2.6 rebounds, and 3 assists-totaling just over 23, well below our target. Even at home, where he performs a bit better, he's netting around 20.2 points, and his overall contributions just aren't trending toward the high 30s.Against the Hornets, his numbers dip further; he's averaged only 16.2 points at home against them, along with a modest 4.8 rebounds and 3.6 assists. With a hit rate of 9 out of 9 at home for the under in recent games, the trends align perfectly here. Bane is likely to fall short of that 32.5 mark,

Jerami Grant (Portland Trail Blazers) Over 9.5 Points (-154)

As the Portland Trail Blazers roll into San Antonio, all eyes should be on Jerami Grant to light up the scoreboard. He's been on a tear lately, averaging 17.4 points over his last five games, and he's not just heating up at home-on the road, he's been solid too, averaging 16.4. The Spurs' defense will have their hands full, especially considering Grant has scored 15 points against them in their recent encounters. The fact that he's hit the over in his last four games speaks volumes about his current form and confidence. With a remarkable 12 out of 14 success rate on the road, it feels like a no-brainer to back him for over 9.5 points. Given his expected stat value of 17.57, it's clear that Grant is poised to surpass that modest threshold once again. Don't miss this opportunity.