Best NBA Parlay Picks Today, Saturday 04/18 (5-Leg) Featuring Moussa Diabate!: High Probability Plays

As the Phoenix Suns gear up to face the Golden State Warriors, keep an eye on Jalen Green's scoring prop, specifically the under at 24.5 points. Although Green has shown flashes of brilliance, recent matchups against the Warriors reveal a troubling trend. He's averaged just 14.6 points at home against them over his last five encounters, and his overall scoring has dipped to around 20 points per game lately.To add further context, Green has hit the under in 14 of his last 17 home games, showcasing his struggle to consistently exceed this threshold. With an expected stat value of just 14.91, it seems the odds are stacked against him. The Suns' defense is well-equipped to stifle him, particularly given the Warriors' recent focus on defensive schemes. This matchup could see Green limited, making the under not only a smart wager but a likely outcome as well.

Draymond Green (Golden State Warriors) Under 7.5 Assists (-263)

As the Warriors gear up to face the Suns, Draymond Green's role as a playmaker faces tough odds. Averaging 3.4 assists against Phoenix in their last few encounters, his production tends to dwindle when away from home, dipping to just 6.6 assists in his last five road games. With the Suns' defense tightening up, especially against versatile players like Green, it's no surprise that his expected stat value rests around 4.6 assists-far below that 7.5 threshold. Green has only hit the over in 3 of his last 4 matchups and boasts a remarkable 13 out of 17 success rate for the under while playing on the road. Given these trends and the Suns' ability to disrupt passing lanes, it makes sense to bank on Draymond falling short of that assist mark in this high-stakes battle.

Desmond Bane (Orlando Magic) Under 32.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-278)

As we look ahead to Friday's clash between the Orlando Magic and the Charlotte Hornets, targeting Desmond Bane for under 32.5 points, rebounds, and assists feels like a smart play. Bane has been solid lately, averaging just 17.4 points, 2.6 rebounds, and 3 assists over his last five games, which puts him significantly below our threshold. At home, while he does bump those numbers slightly, he's still sitting at 20.2 points, 3 rebounds, and 4 assists. Against the Hornets, his numbers dip even further, averaging only 16.2 points and 3.6 assists in their last matchup. With an overall hit rate of 4 out of the last 5 games falling under this line and a perfect home hit rate of 9 for 9, it's clear Bane might struggle to eclipse that 32.5 mark in this one. Let's bank on him staying under as

Desmond Bane (Orlando Magic) Under 27.5 Points + Assists (-244)

As the Orlando Magic get set to take on the Charlotte Hornets, all eyes should be on Desmond Bane's performance. While he's been a key player, recent trends suggest he might struggle to hit that lofty mark of 27.5 combined points and assists. In his last five games, Bane averaged only 17.4 points and 3 assists overall, and when playing at home, those numbers only slightly tick up to 20.2 points and 4 assists. Against the Hornets, he's averaged 17.6 points and 4 assists, indicating that even in favorable matchups, hitting the over will be a challenge. With a solid hit rate of 4 out of his last 5 games under this line, and especially at home where he's exceeded it just 4 times in the last 4 games, the under seems like a compelling play here. Expect a performance that keeps him under that 27.5 threshold.