Best NBA Parlay Picks Today, Saturday 04/04 (7-Leg) Featuring Scottie Barnes!: High Probability Plays

As the Raptors head into Memphis, all eyes will be on Scottie Barnes, but it might be wise to bet against him hitting over 19.5 combined rebounds and assists. While Barnes has been a solid contributor, averaging 12.2 assists over his last five, his away performances tell a different story-he's pulling down just 5.8 boards and dishing out 9.6 assists on the road. Against the Grizzlies, who excel at boxing out, he averages a mere 6 rebounds and 5.2 assists in their last five matchups away, well under our target. With an impressive 18 of his last 20 outings hitting under this mark, and a staggering 16 out of 17 away games, it's clear the trend favors the under. The odds are stacked against Barnes exceeding this threshold, making the under a savvy play for Saturday's contest.

Jalen Johnson (Atlanta Hawks) Under 20.5 Rebounds + Assists (-323)

As the Atlanta Hawks gear up to face the Brooklyn Nets, Jalen Johnson is poised for a challenging night, particularly when it comes to hitting the over on 20.5 combined rebounds and assists. Johnson has been solid lately, averaging 9 rebounds and 8.2 assists in his last five games. However, the critical numbers come into play when he's away from home, where his averages dip to 8.8 rebounds and just 7.6 assists.Against the Nets, he's historically struggled, managing only 7.2 rebounds and a mere 2 assists per game in recent away matchups. His overall hit rate is impressive at 6 of the last 7 games, but those numbers don't reflect the tough Brooklyn defense he'll face. With an expected stat value of just 14.39, the under seems like a smart play in this matchup. Expect Johnson to find it difficult to break the 20.5 mark on Friday night.

Moussa Diabate (Charlotte Hornets) Under 12.5 Rebounds (-588)

As the Charlotte Hornets gear up to face the Indiana Pacers at home, all eyes are on Moussa Diabate and his rebounding performance. While his hustle has been commendable, averaging 8.8 rebounds over the last five games, recent trends suggest that he's likely to fall short of the 12.5 mark. At home, Diabate's numbers dip slightly, with an average of 8.6 rebounds, and he's consistently hit the under against the Pacers, posting just 10 rebounds in their last match-up at Spectrum Center. With his recent form showing a flawless 6-for-6 hit rate, it's tempting to think he might extend that streak, but the math points elsewhere. The expected stat value is notably lower at 8.08, aligning with a high implied probability of 85.5% for the under. In this matchup, it seems wise to bank on Diabate staying under that threshold.

Scottie Barnes (Toronto Raptors) Under 10.5 Rebounds (-500)

As the Toronto Raptors gear up to face the Memphis Grizzlies, all eyes should be on Scottie Barnes, particularly when it comes to his rebounding numbers. With an average of just 5.8 boards in away games recently, Barnes seems to be in a tough spot against a Grizzlies team that isn't easy to rebound against. Over his last five games, he's only eclipsed the 10.5 mark once, averaging 5 overall rebounds. Even more telling is his track record against Memphis-he's been held to around 6 rebounds in their matchups. Given that he's consistently fallen short of this threshold with a 100% hit rate for the Under in his last 20 games, including 12 straight away, it feels prudent to back the Under 10.5 rebounds for Barnes in this matchup. The numbers are stacking up favorably, and the narrative suggests he'll struggle to hit that mark against a formidable Grizzlies squad.

Scottie Barnes (Toronto Raptors) Under 31.5 Points + Assists (-263)

As the Raptors head into Memphis, all eyes will be on Scottie Barnes. While he's a dynamic player, the numbers suggest we might see him struggle to hit that 31.5 mark for combined points and assists. Over his last five outings, he's been averaging just 14.8 points and 12.2 assists, falling well short of our target. When it comes to away games, those numbers dip further-he's at 13.2 points and 9.6 assists on the road. Against the Grizzlies, Barnes has historically managed around 19.6 points and 8.2 assists, but recent trends show he's only hit 5.2 assists per game in away matchups. With an impressive 18 out of his last 20 outings hitting the under, and a perfect 15 out of 15 on the road, the smart play here is to bet on Barnes staying under that lofty total.

Neemias Queta (Boston Celtics) Under 11.5 Rebounds (-500)

As we look ahead to the clash between the Celtics and Bucks, Neemias Queta becomes an intriguing focal point for a player prop bet on his rebounds. While he's a capable big man, the numbers tell a different story. Queta has averaged just 9 rebounds in his last five games, and when he's away, that dips to 8.8. Against the Bucks, his production is even more muted, averaging only 5.4 rebounds historically, and 6.7 in their previous matchups on the road.Moreover, he's been held under this line every time in his last 12 games-talk about consistency! With a current expected stat value of just 7.79, it's clear that hitting the under on 11.5 rebounds isn't just a cautious play; it's firmly backed by the stats. Expect Queta to struggle against a strong Bucks frontcourt, making the under a savvy bet in this matchup.