Best NBA Parlay Picks Today, Friday 04/17 (5-Leg) Featuring Moussa Diabate!: Calculated Risk, High Reward

In the upcoming clash between the Warriors and the Suns, targeting Draymond Green for under 7.5 assists feels like a savvy move. While he's shown flashes of brilliance, Green's away game stats tell a different story. Over his last five outings, he's averaged just 6.6 assists on the road, a steep drop from his overall average of 8. When facing the Suns, Green's assists dwindle even further; he's averaged only 3.4 assists in his last five matchups against them. With a solid hit rate of 13 out of his last 17 away games going under this mark, it's clear the numbers favor caution. Considering the Suns' defensive scheme, which often limits playmaking from opponents, it's hard to envision Green eclipsing that 7.5 threshold. Betting the under seems not just prudent, but almost inevitable in this matchup.

Jalen Green (Phoenix Suns) Under 22.5 Points (-233)

As the Phoenix Suns gear up to take on the Golden State Warriors, Jalen Green's scoring line of 22.5 feels a bit too high. Sure, he's been an explosive player, but looking at his recent performances, especially at home, he's averaged only 20.4 points over the last five games. Against Golden State, he's really struggled, posting just 14.6 points in their last matchup at home. The Suns boast a solid defense, which likely means fewer opportunities for Green to unleash his scoring. The numbers don't lie-his average against the Warriors is just 9.6 points in their last five encounters. With a hit rate of 12 out of 17 for the under at home, it appears that the odds are stacked against him hitting that 22.5 mark. All signs point to taking the under here, making this a savvy play for the matchup.

Desmond Bane (Orlando Magic) Under 30.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-227)

As Desmond Bane steps onto the court against the Charlotte Hornets, the numbers suggest a compelling case for taking the under on his combined points, rebounds, and assists at 30.5. While he's been solid at home, averaging 20.2 points, 3 rebounds, and 4 assists over his last five games, the overall trend shows he's clocking in at 17.4 points, 2.6 rebounds, and 3 assists lately-well short of our target. Against the Hornets, Bane's numbers dip even further; he averages just 17.6 points with a notably lower 16.2 at home. Plus, his last three games at home have seen him hit the under consistently. With a solid hit rate of 4 out of 5 recently, Bane might struggle to reach that 30.5 mark, making the under a savvy play as the Magic look to control the tempo.

Gui Santos (Golden State Warriors) Under 20.5 Points + Rebounds (-222)

As the Golden State Warriors head to the desert to face the Phoenix Suns, all eyes will be on Gui Santos. However, betting on Santos to surpass 20.5 combined points and rebounds feels like a stretch. His recent performances tell a different story; over his last five games, he's averaging just 14.8 points and 4.8 rebounds, which falls significantly short of our target.Away from home, those numbers dip even further, dropping to 11.8 points and an impressive 6.4 rebounds. Yet, historically, when facing the Suns, he's netting a mere 7.2 points on average, and only 8.2 when playing on their court. With a solid hit rate of 3 out of his last 4 games under this threshold, it's clear that Santos struggles against this opponent. For those looking to capitalize on this matchup, betting the under on Santos' prop seems like a savvy move.