Best NBA Parlay Picks Today, Friday 04/17 (5-Leg) Featuring Moussa Diabate!: Calculated Risk, High Reward

As the Warriors gear up to face the Suns, Draymond Green's playmaking role is worth scrutinizing, particularly when it comes to his assist numbers. While he's been a reliable facilitator with an average of 8 assists over his last five games, his away performances tell a different story. Green has averaged just 6.6 assists on the road, and against Phoenix, his numbers dip even further to 3.4 per game. This trend isn't just a fluke; in his last 17 away games, he's only surpassed 7.5 assists four times. With the Suns' defense focused on limiting his distribution, it's tough to see him breaking that mark tonight. Given that the odds heavily favor the Under at 7.5 assists, targeting this prop feels like a smart play. The statistics align, and the narrative suggests that Draymond might just be more of a facilitator in other areas tonight.

Jalen Green (Phoenix Suns) Under 22.5 Points (-233)

As the Phoenix Suns prepare to host the Golden State Warriors, all eyes will be on Jalen Green. However, betting on him to score over 22.5 points feels like a stretch. In his last five games, Green has averaged just 20 points, and when facing the Warriors, that number dips significantly to around 9.6. Even at home, where he averages 20.4 points, he's proven to be less effective against this particular matchup, with only 14.6 points in their last face-off at the Footprint Center. Moreover, his recent home hit rate is impressive at 12 out of the last 17 games, indicating a trend we can't ignore. With an expected stat value of just 14.91, the under seems not just plausible, but likely. As the Suns look to establish control, expect Green to play a different role, making the under 22.5 a smart bet in this matchup.

Desmond Bane (Orlando Magic) Under 30.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-233)

As the Orlando Magic prepare to take on the Charlotte Hornets, Desmond Bane might be a tempting player to watch, but betting on him to go over 30.5 combined points, rebounds, and assists could be a misstep. The numbers paint a clear picture: Bane has averaged just 17.4 points, 2.6 rebounds, and 3 assists over his last five games, which puts him well below that threshold. Even at home, where he typically performs better, his averages stand at 20.2 points, 3 rebounds, and 4 assists. Against the Hornets, he's found success with about 17.6 points, but home games show a dip to 16.2 points. With a hit rate of 4 out of his last 5 games under this line, and the Magic's defensive focus, it's difficult to envision Bane surpassing 30.5 tonight. Betting the under feels like the smart play here.

Gui Santos (Golden State Warriors) Under 20.5 Points + Rebounds (-227)

As the Golden State Warriors gear up to face the Phoenix Suns, all eyes will be on Gui Santos, but betting on him to go over 20.5 points and rebounds might be a stretch. Santos has been solid lately, averaging 14.8 points and 4.8 rebounds in his last five games, but his production dips on the road, where he's netting just 11.8 points and 6.4 rebounds. Against the Suns, he's managed a mere 7.2 points in their last encounters, with his away stats revealing an even more modest 8.2. Moreover, in recent matchups, he's only hit the over once in his last four games, and his away hit rate stands at a strong 75%, which underscores a trend we've seen. With the Suns' defense tightening up, expect Santos to fall short of that 20.5 mark. This bet feels like a solid call with a compelling narrative behind it.