Sam Merrill (Cleveland Cavaliers) Over 7.5 Points (-204)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Cleveland Cavaliers gear up to face the Toronto Raptors, keep an eye on Sam Merrill to surpass 7.5 points. Merrill's recent form paints a promising picture; he's averaged nearly 10 points over his last five games, and when playing at home, that number jumps to an impressive 11. Against the Raptors, he's found his rhythm, chipping in an average of 8 points in their last encounters. What's truly compelling is Merrill's track record, hitting the over in 9 of his last 11 games overall. With the Cavs' offense in need of sparks, Merrill is poised to light it up, especially in the friendly confines of home where he's notched 3 of 4 overs recently. At an implied probability of 67.1%, it feels like a smart play to ride the wave of his current scoring surge. This could be a game where he exceeds expectations!

Moussa Diabate (Charlotte Hornets) Under 10.5 Rebounds (-135)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Hornets gear up to face the Orlando Magic, all eyes will be on Moussa Diabate, but don't be surprised if he falls short on the boards. Despite his recent surge, averaging 8.6 rebounds over his last five games, he's hitting just 8 on the road and has only managed 7 against this Magic team historically. Dig a little deeper, and you'll see he's hit the Under on 10.5 rebounds in five of his last six outings, clearly showing that consistency is key-and away from home, it's even tougher. The Magic's frontcourt is no walk in the park either, and with Diabate's away hit rate at a perfect 3/3 recently, it's a prime spot for a regression. Expect him to settle around the 8-rebound mark again, making the Under a compelling play here.

Draymond Green (Golden State Warriors) Under 6.5 Assists (-139)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Warriors travel to Phoenix, all eyes will be on Draymond Green, but I'm leaning toward the under on his assists total of 6.5. Recent trends reveal that Green has averaged just 4.6 assists, which is a stark contrast to the number he's expected to hit in this matchup. Historically, when facing the Suns, he has managed only 3.4 assists per game over their last five encounters, a figure that stays consistent even when playing away. Moreover, Green has hit the under in five of his last seven away games, pointing to a troubling pattern for his playmaking ability on the road. With the Suns' defensive schemes focusing heavily on limiting his passing lanes, I believe this will be another challenging night for Draymond. In a game where he may be more focused on defense, betting the under on his assists feels like a savvy move.

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