Best MLB Parlay Picks Today, Monday 09/22 (7-Leg) : High Probability Baseball Plays

Chris Sale's performance data supports the bet on allowing over 1.5 hits in the upcoming game. His overall average hits allowed in the last five games is 6.2, well above the bet line. Even when considering his home game average, it's still at 5.6 hits. Furthermore, his hit streaks, both overall and at home, show a consistent trend of allowing hits. His performance against the Nationals also leans towards this bet, with an average of 5.3 hits allowed. While his innings pitched and outs averages suggest he's not often in the game for long, they still provide ample opportunity for the opposing team to score hits. Therefore, based on Sale's recent performance and his specific record against the Nationals, the Over 1.5 hits allowed is a statistically sound bet.

Nick Pivetta (SDP) Over 1.5 Hits Allowed (-2500)

Nick Pivetta's recent performance data indicates a strong likelihood of him allowing over 1.5 hits in the upcoming game. His last five games show an average of 3.2 hits allowed overall and at home games, which is more than double the proposed line. Additionally, when playing against the Brewers, his hits allowed average spikes to 7.7. His innings pitched, both overall and versus the Brewers, also suggest a higher potential for hits allowed due to more time on the mound. Furthermore, his current hit streaks (4 overall and 9 at home) demonstrate a consistent pattern of allowing hits. Therefore, the statistical data strongly supports the bet for over 1.5 hits allowed by Pivetta in the upcoming game.

Nick Pivetta (SDP) Over 0.5 Walks Allowed (-476)

The bet on Nick Pivetta to allow Over 0.5 walks is supported by his recent performance data. Over his last five games, Pivetta has averaged 1.4 walks overall and 1.2 walks at home. This trend is even more pronounced when facing the Brewers, where his walk average increases to 2. Despite pitching fewer innings against the Brewers (average 4.4) and at home (average 4), he has consistently allowed at least one walk. His overall and home hit streaks also suggest that teams are making contact and getting on base. The data indicates that it's highly likely Pivetta will allow at least one walk in the upcoming game against the Brewers. Therefore, the Over 0.5 walks bet is a statistically sound choice.

Ivan Herrera (STL) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-1667)

The under 0.5 bet for Ivan Herrera in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a strong choice, based on his recent performance data. Herrera has not recorded a single stolen base in his last five overall games, last five away games, and last five games against the San Francisco Giants. This zero average in multiple contexts indicates a consistent lack of stolen bases. Additionally, his caught stealing (Cs) averages are also zero, suggesting he is not even attempting to steal bases. Despite a solid hit streak both overall and away, Herrera's propensity for stealing bases appears minimal. Therefore, betting under 0.5 stolen bases for Herrera is statistically justified.

Freddy Peralta (MIL) Over 0.5 Walks Allowed (-588)

The Over 0.5 bet for Freddy Peralta's Walks Allowed is a strong choice based on his recent performance data. Over his last five games, Peralta has averaged 1.8 walks overall and 2.8 walks when playing away. This indicates a consistent tendency to allow at least one walk per game, which is all that's needed to win this bet. Moreover, against the Padres specifically, Peralta has averaged 2 walks in his last five matchups. This suggests that the Padres' batting lineup may present particular challenges for Peralta's control. Additionally, Peralta's current hit streak, especially his 16-game streak in away games, shows a pattern of allowing hits that could translate into walks. Given these factors, the Over 0.5 bet on Peralta's Walks Allowed is statistically justified.

Jacob Young (WSN) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-323)

The bet on Jacob Young for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a good choice based on his recent performance data. Young's overall and away average for stolen bases in the last five games is only 0.2, which is less than the line of 0.5. Furthermore, when playing against the Braves, his stolen base average remains the same at 0.2. His current hit streak, both overall and away, is also low, indicating that he may not be at his peak performance. Additionally, the average number of times he's caught stealing in the last five games, both overall and away, is zero, which shows he's not taking many risks on the bases. Therefore, the statistical data suggests that it's unlikely for Young to steal a base in the upcoming game.