Jalen Johnson (Atlanta Hawks) Over 0.5 Steals (-135)

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The bet on Jalen Johnson to have over 0.5 steals in the Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat game is supported by several key statistics. Johnson's overall hit rate for the last 16 games is 13/16, which shows a consistent ability to achieve more than 0.5 steals per game. This trend is even more pronounced in home games, with a hit rate of 9 out of the last 10. Moreover, Johnson's average steals in the last 5 overall games and home games are 1.6 and 2.2 respectively, both significantly above the outcome point of 0.5. His steal rate against Miami Heat also supports the bet, averaging 1.2 in the last 5 games. Despite a lower average of 0.2 steals at home against the Heat, the overall trends indicate a high chance of Johnson achieving over 0.5 steals in this game.

Norman Powell (LA Clippers) Under 1.5 Steals (-145)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Norman Powell for Under 1.5 steals in the Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat game is statistically justified by several factors. Firstly, Powell's average steals over the last five games stands at 0.8, which is significantly lower than 1.5. Even when considering the home and away statistics, his average is only 1 steal per game. Furthermore, when looking at Powell's record against this specific opponent, his average drops even further to 0.5 steals per game. In addition, the opponent team's home and away average is zero, indicating a low likelihood of steals. Lastly, Powell's past performance also supports this bet, with the under 1.5 steals outcome hitting in 4 out of the last 5 games overall, and 6 out of the last 7 home and away games. These statistics collectively suggest a high probability of Powell staying under 1.5 steals in the upcoming game.

Andrew Wiggins (Golden State Warriors) Over 1.5 Blocks (+125)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Andrew Wiggins to record over 1.5 blocks in the Hawks vs Heat game is backed by a strong statistical grounding. Although Wiggins' average overall blocks in the last five games stands at 1.4, slightly below the betting line, his performance against the Hawks specifically and on the road are worth considering. He has averaged 1.4 blocks against the Hawks and this jumps to 2.5 blocks when playing in Atlanta. This suggests that the away environment against Atlanta brings out a higher blocking performance from Wiggins. Furthermore, his hit rate both overall and away in recent games is 2 out of 3, indicating a tendency to surpass the 1.5 blocks threshold. The likelihood of him achieving this in the upcoming game is therefore statistically plausible.

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