Abe Alsaghir vs Fabrizio Escarrega Prediction & Picks: Analytics Breakdown

On Wednesday 12 August 2026, Abe Alsaghir takes on Fabrizio Escarrega in the UFC. Our model likes one bet here. The one it likes most is Abe Alsaghir to Win, priced at +128 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Abe Alsaghir to Win (+128)

I'm going with Abe Alsaghir to win his fight against Fabrizio Escarrega. Abe has a fighting style that focuses on striking, which could give him the upper hand if he lands solid hits. Fabrizio might try to take the fight to the ground, but if Abe can keep it standing, he has a good chance to score some points or even finish the fight. While Abe is the underdog, he definitely has a real shot at winning, so this could be an exciting bet to watch! Just remember, anything can happen in a fight. It was priced at +128 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $22.80 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Abe Alsaghir v Fabrizio Escarrega. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.