Today's Top NBA Prop Bet Picks & Predictions, Friday 03/20 (Daniss Jenkins Highlights): Smart Player Wagers

As we gear up for the Pistons' clash against the Warriors, eyes should be on Daniss Jenkins, particularly when it comes to his points and assists combined. With a line set at 19.5, there's a compelling case to take the under. Jenkins has found himself in a groove lately, but recent trends suggest he may hit a ceiling against the Warriors' defense. Over his last 16 games, he's only surpassed this mark in three outings, showcasing a hit rate of just 19%. At home, the trend continues; Jenkins has only eclipsed this total in 2 of his last 20 games in Detroit. The Warriors rank among the top teams in limiting opponent scoring, which adds another layer of challenge for Jenkins. With an expected stat value sitting around 11.39, it seems the under is a smart play as he may struggle to find his rhythm in this matchup.

Daniss Jenkins (Detroit Pistons) Under 22.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-118)

As the Detroit Pistons face off against the Golden State Warriors, all eyes will be on Daniss Jenkins. However, the numbers suggest it might be wise to bet on him coming in under 22.5 combined points, rebounds, and assists. Jenkins has been remarkably consistent lately, hitting the under in 14 of his last 16 games, showcasing a trend that's hard to ignore. At home, he's been even more effective, nailing the under in all six of his most recent appearances at Little Caesars Arena.While Jenkins has shown flashes of brilliance, his expected stat value of just 13.6 indicates he might struggle to reach that lofty total against a Warriors squad that excels at limiting opposing production. With an implied probability of 54.1% favoring the under, it seems like a savvy play to expect Jenkins to fall short of the mark in this matchup.

Daniss Jenkins (Detroit Pistons) Under 9.5 Rebounds + Assists (-141)

As the Detroit Pistons gear up to face the Golden State Warriors, all eyes will certainly be on Daniss Jenkins. However, betting on him to go over 9.5 combined rebounds and assists might not be the play here. Jenkins has been consistent but in a different way lately; he's hit the under in 12 of his last 14 home games. With an expected stat value sitting at just 5.38, it's clear he's been more of a supporting player than a primary contributor on the stat sheet. The Pistons' offense often flows through other key players, and against a Warriors squad that excels in perimeter play, Jenkins may find himself more focused on defense than racking up assists. With an overall hit rate of 18 out of 20 on this line, the trend suggests it's wise to lean towards the under for Jenkins in this matchup.

Jalen Duren (Detroit Pistons) Under 37.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-112)

As the Pistons host the Warriors, Jalen Duren's recent form suggests a tricky night ahead for his stat line. Although he's been solid at home, averaging 24.6 points and 13.6 rebounds in his last five home games, those numbers still fall short of the hefty 37.5 mark we're targeting here. Against Golden State, Duren's output dips significantly; he's managed just 5.5 points and 8 rebounds at home against this opponent. Moreover, while his overall averages have been impressive, the last eight games show he's hit this high total just twice. With the Warriors likely to focus on limiting his touches and the Pistons' overall offensive struggles, it feels like a prime opportunity to lean on the under. The numbers align, and we can expect a night where Duren stays below that 37.5 threshold.

Nikola Jokic (Denver Nuggets) Under 10.5 Assists (-135)

As the Denver Nuggets gear up to face the Toronto Raptors, it might be worth considering an intriguing angle on Nikola Jokic's assists. Despite his incredible playmaking ability, recent trends suggest he could fall short of that lofty 10.5 assists mark. Over his last five games, Jokic has averaged 12.4 assists, but at home, that number dips to 10.8. Against the Raptors specifically, his assist average drops even further to 8.4, and at home, it's barely a tick higher at 8.6. With the Raptors known for tightening their defensive schemes, Jokic may find it tougher to connect with his teammates as easily as he normally does. This combination of factors paints a compelling case for taking the under on Jokic's assists. In this matchup, it's the perfect opportunity to bet against the expectations of his typically high assist totals.