Bryan Woo (SEA) Over 0.5 Walks Allowed (-200)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Betting on Bryan Woo to allow over 0.5 walks is a good choice based on his recent performance data. Looking at his last five games, he has an average of 1.4 walks allowed overall and 0.8 when playing away. These figures are notably higher than the betting line of 0.5. Despite his average against the opposition being zero, his overall and away averages suggest a higher likelihood of him allowing at least one walk. Furthermore, his innings pitched (IP) and outs averages indicate he's typically on the mound for a significant portion of the game, providing more opportunities for walks to occur. His current hit streaks, both overall and away, also suggest a tendency for allowing hits, which could translate into walks. Thus, the statistical data supports the bet on Bryan Woo to allow over 0.5 walks in the upcoming game.

Carmen Mlodzinski (PIT) Over 2.5 Strikeouts (-233)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Carmen Mlodzinski's recent performance indicates a strong possibility of achieving over 2.5 strikeouts. Although his home averages are slightly lower, his overall averages show a promising trend. In the last five games, Mlodzinski averaged 3 strikeouts per game, surpassing the line set for this bet. Moreover, he averaged 3.3 innings pitched per game, providing ample opportunities for strikeouts. Despite a lower performance against the Dodgers in the past, his current form suggests an increased strikeout potential. Furthermore, Mlodzinski's current home hit streak stands at 2, showing a positive trend in his home performances. Therefore, considering his overall recent performances and the opportunity presented by his innings pitched, betting on Mlodzinski to achieve over 2.5 strikeouts is a statistically sound choice.

Ian Happ (CHC) Over 0.5 Hits (-179)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The betting choice for Ian Happ to get over 0.5 hits in the Cubs vs Braves game is supported by a strong statistical backing. Happ's overall hit average in the last five games is 2.2, indicating a consistent performance. He's also been hitting well at home, with an average of 1.8 hits in his last five home games and a current home hit streak of 3. His average plate appearances both overall and at home are high, suggesting he gets ample opportunities to hit. Although his average against the Braves is slightly lower (0.8), he still consistently gets on base. Given these stats, Happ's chances of getting at least one hit in the game are high, making this bet a good choice.

Carmen Mlodzinski (PIT) Over 2.5 Strikeouts (-303)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Carmen Mlodzinski's Over 2.5 strikeouts bet is a good choice given his recent performance. His overall average for the last five games is three strikeouts, exceeding the line set for this bet. His innings pitched and outs averages also indicate he's on the mound long enough to achieve this number. Although his home averages are slightly lower, his home current hit streak of 2 suggests an improving trend. Mlodzinski's performance against the Dodgers is weaker, but the small sample size of only one inning pitched in the last five games against them may not be a reliable indicator. Considering his overall recent performance, Mlodzinski's likelihood of achieving over 2.5 strikeouts is statistically sound.

Nico Hoerner (CHC) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-455)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Betting on Nico Hoerner for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a good choice when considering his recent performance. Looking at the provided statistics, Hoerner has not been successful in stealing bases recently. His overall average for stolen bases in the last five games, both home and away, is zero. This trend continues when specifically looking at his performance against the Atlanta Braves, with a zero average in the last five games. Additionally, the average caught stealing (Cs) rate is low, indicating that Hoerner is not attempting to steal bases frequently. Despite his impressive hit streaks, these do not correlate directly to successful base stealing. Therefore, based on these statistics, the Under 0.5 bet appears to be a solid choice.

Julio Rodriguez (SEA) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-400)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Betting under 0.5 on Julio Rodriguez for the Batter Stolen Bases market is a statistically sound choice. Rodriguez's last five games show an average of only 0.2 stolen bases overall and specifically when playing away. Furthermore, his stolen base average against the Tampa Bay Rays is 0, indicating that their defense has effectively mitigated his base-stealing attempts in the past. Adding to this, his caught stealing averages are consistent with his stolen base averages, both overall and away, further demonstrating the risk he faces when attempting to steal bases. Despite his current hit streak, Rodriguez's historical performance suggests a low likelihood of him stealing a base in this game. Therefore, the under 0.5 bet is the more statistically supported choice.

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