Cristopher Sanchez (PHI) Over 0.5 Walks Allowed (-345)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Cristopher Sanchez for Over 0.5 in the Pitcher Walks Allowed market is a good choice based on his historical performance. Over his last five games, Sanchez has averaged 1.6 walks overall and 1.2 walks at home. This is consistently above the bet line of 0.5. Furthermore, when playing against the Boston Red Sox, his walk average increases to 2, indicating a higher probability of walks when facing this particular opponent. Additionally, Sanchez's current hit streak, both overall (9) and at home (3), suggests a pattern of allowing hits, which often correlates with a higher number of walks. Therefore, based on these data points, it is statistically likely that Sanchez will allow more than 0.5 walks in the upcoming game.

Byron Buxton (MIN) Under 3.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-143)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Byron Buxton for Under 3.5 in the Batter Hits Runs Rbis market is a good choice based on his recent performance data. Over the last five games, Buxton's overall averages for hits, runs, and RBIs are 1.4, 0.6, and 0.6 respectively. This totals to 2.6, which is significantly lower than the line of 3.5. His averages are even lower when playing away games, with hit, run, and RBI averages of 1, 0.4, and 0.4 respectively, totaling to 1.8. Even against the Dodgers, his average total remains below the line at 2.2. Furthermore, his current hit streak is only at 1 overall and 0 for away games. These figures indicate a lower probability of Buxton exceeding the 3.5 line, making the Under bet a statistically sound choice.

Ryan Jeffers (MIN) Under 2.5 Singles (-588)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The under 2.5 bet on Ryan Jeffers in the Batter Singles market is a solid choice based on his recent performance data. Jeffers' last five games indicate a low batting average, with an overall average of just 0.2 and an away average of 0.4 for singles. His performance against the Dodgers specifically is even lower, with an average of 0 hits in the last five games. Even his overall and away hit streaks, while impressive, don't necessarily translate into high single hit numbers. Given these stats, it's unlikely he will achieve more than 2.5 singles in this game, making the under bet a statistically sound choice.

Cristopher Sanchez (PHI) Over 4.5 Strikeouts (-370)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Cristopher Sanchez's recent performance indicates a strong potential for achieving over 4.5 strikeouts. His last five overall games show an average of 6.6 strikeouts, exceeding the betting line. Furthermore, his home game statistics are even more promising, with an average of 7.8 strikeouts. This suggests that Sanchez performs particularly well in home games, which is the case for the upcoming match against the Boston Red Sox. Although his stats against this opponent are lower, his overall and home averages indicate a consistent ability to surpass the 4.5 strikeouts line. Therefore, based on Sanchez's recent performances, particularly at home, betting on him to achieve over 4.5 strikeouts seems statistically justified.

Jose Ramirez (CLE) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-323)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Jose Ramirez for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is driven by his recent and overall performance statistics. Ramirez's average stolen bases in the last five games overall is 0.6, and this drops to 0.2 when considering only home games. This suggests that he is less likely to steal bases when playing at home. Furthermore, his average stolen bases against the Orioles is 0.4, which is still below the line of 0.5. Additionally, his current hit streak is zero, both overall and at home, indicating a current dip in form. Given these factors, it seems statistically probable that Ramirez will not steal more than 0.5 bases in the upcoming game against the Orioles.

Kyle Hendricks (LAA) Over 2.5 Strikeouts (-227)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on Kyle Hendricks to achieve over 2.5 strikeouts is a solid choice, primarily based on his recent performance in away games and against the Mets. While his overall average strikeouts per game is 2.4, his average increases to 3.6 in away games, suggesting that he performs better outside his home stadium. Additionally, his strikeout average against the Mets is a remarkable 5.5, more than double his overall average. These numbers imply that Hendricks tends to excel in away games and particularly against the Mets. Despite his current hit streak being at 0, the significant increase in his strikeout rates in these specific conditions provides strong statistical support for this bet.

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