Latest MLB betting preview: Detroit Tigers vs San Francisco Giants. Get predictions and top picks. We analyze the top 6 MLB player props available. Keywords: MLB player props, best baseball prop bets today, player statistics predictions MLB.
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Spencer Torkelson for Over 0.5 in the Batter Total Bases market is a promising choice based on his recent performance data. His average hits, both overall and at home, are consistently at 0.8, indicating a strong likelihood of achieving at least one hit in the upcoming game. Moreover, his average double and home run rates, both at home and overall, stand at 0.2. This suggests that not only is he likely to hit, but there's a good chance that hit could be for extra bases. Even though his current overall hit streak is 0, his home hit streak is at 1, which shows that he tends to perform better at home. Considering these statistics, this bet offers a solid opportunity for a favorable outcome.
Charlie Morton (BAL) Over 2.5 Strikeouts (-400)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
Charlie Morton's recent performance data supports a bet on Over 2.5 in the Pitcher Strikeouts (Alternate) market. His last five overall and home game averages for strikeouts (4.2 and 4.6 respectively) are comfortably above the 2.5 line. Additionally, his innings pitched and outs averages show that he typically stays on the mound long enough to achieve more than 2.5 strikeouts. Even when facing the Cardinals, his strikeout average is 3, which is still higher than the line. Furthermore, Morton's current home hit streak of 6 suggests he is in good form when playing at home. Therefore, based on his past performance and current form, betting on Morton to achieve over 2.5 strikeouts is a statistically sound choice.
Kevin Gausman (TOR) Over 0.5 Walks Allowed (-333)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Kevin Gausman for Over 0.5 in the Pitcher Walks Allowed market is a good choice based on his recent performance data. Over his last five games, Gausman has averaged 1.2 walks overall and 1.8 walks when playing away. This trend is even more pronounced against the Texas Rangers, where his average walks allowed increases to 2.6. His innings pitched and outs averages also suggest he's on the mound long enough to give up at least one walk. The fact that he's currently on a hit streak, both overall and away, could also increase the likelihood of walks as he may pitch more cautiously. In conclusion, Gausman's recent performance indicates a strong probability of him allowing at least one walk in the upcoming game.
Garrett Crochet (BOS) Over 2.5 Hits Allowed (-588)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Garrett Crochet’s recent performance data suggests that the Over 2.5 Hits Allowed bet is a good choice. His last five games show an overall average of 3.8 hits allowed, which is higher than the 2.5 line set for this bet. Even when playing away, his average hits allowed is 3, still above the line. When facing the Brewers specifically, his hits allowed average rises to 5. This trend continues despite his average innings pitched and outs remaining relatively stable across all scenarios. Furthermore, he's on a current hit streak of 1 overall, indicating a tendency for allowing hits in consecutive games. Therefore, based on Crochet's recent performance, the probability of him allowing over 2.5 hits in the upcoming game is high, making this a solid bet.
Marcus Semien (TEX) Over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-179)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Marcus Semien is a strong choice for an Over 0.5 bet in the Batter Hits Runs Rbis market. His overall performance data shows a consistent ability to contribute to the game, with an average of 1 hit in the last 5 games. This is reinforced by his current hit streak of 1, and even more so by his home hit streak of 5, indicating a strong performance when playing at home. This is crucial as the upcoming game is a home game for Semien. Furthermore, his runs average against the opponent team is 0.8, further increasing the likelihood of him scoring. Although his RBI averages are low, his hit and run averages suggest a high probability of him making a significant contribution to the game, making the Over 0.5 bet a statistically solid choice.
Jameson Taillon (CHC) Over 2.5 Hits Allowed (-588)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Jameson Taillon's recent performance data suggests a strong rationale for betting Over 2.5 in the Pitcher Hits Allowed market. His last five games show a consistent pattern of allowing an average of 5 hits per game overall, and 4 hits per game at home. This trend is above the line of 2.5, implying a high probability of this pattern continuing. Furthermore, his innings pitched (IP) average is around 5.7 against the opponent and 6 at home, suggesting he usually stays in the game long enough to potentially allow more hits. His current hit streaks also support this bet, with an overall streak of 6 and an impressive home streak of 23. These statistics indicate a consistent pattern of Taillon allowing more than 2.5 hits per game, making this bet a strong choice.
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