Today's Top MLB Prop Bet Picks & Predictions, Sunday 09/21 (Michael Conforto Highlights): Finding the Edge

Michael Wacha's recent performance data indicates a strong likelihood of him allowing more than 0.5 walks in the upcoming game. Over his last five games, regardless of location or opponent, Wacha has averaged two walks per game. This trend holds true when he's pitching at home, where he has also averaged two walks. When facing the Toronto Blue Jays specifically, his walks allowed average increases slightly to 2.2. Furthermore, his innings pitched and outs averages suggest that he typically stays in the game long enough to allow a walk. Considering these statistics, betting on Wacha to allow over 0.5 walks in the game against the Blue Jays is a statistically sound choice.

Michael Wacha (KCR) Over 14.5 Outs Recorded (-164)

Betting on Michael Wacha to record over 14.5 outs is a solid choice given his recent performance data. Wacha's average outs recorded over his last five games overall is 15.6, which exceeds the line of 14.5. Furthermore, his home game performance is even stronger, averaging 16.6 outs over his last five home games. Despite the slight dip in outs against the specific opponent (14.5 outs), his overall and home game averages suggest he is likely to surpass the line. Additionally, his current hit streaks, both overall (4) and at home (18), indicate a consistently strong performance. The number of pitches he averages both overall and at home are also strong indicators that he can sustain his performance. In conclusion, Wacha's recent track record suggests a high probability of him exceeding 14.5 outs in the upcoming game.

Freddie Freeman (LAD) Under 1.5 Singles (-303)

The under 1.5 bet for Freddie Freeman in the Batter Singles market is a good choice based on his recent performance data. Over the last five games, Freeman's average for overall and home singles is at 0 and 0.8 respectively, both under the line of 1.5. Furthermore, his performance against the Giants has been poor, with an average of 0.2 singles in the last five games. His overall and home hits average are also below 1.5, standing at 0.8 and 1.4 respectively. Despite his current hit streak, the data suggests it's unlikely that Freeman will hit more than 1.5 singles in the upcoming game, making the under bet a statistically sound choice.

Jung Hoo Lee (SFG) Under 2.5 Singles (-556)

The under 2.5 bet for Jung Hoo Lee in the Batter Singles market is statistically supported. Examining Lee's last five games, his average number of singles is noticeably below the line of 2.5, with an overall average of 0.6 and an away average of 1. Furthermore, his overall and away batting average hits are 0.8 and 1.2 respectively, both below the line. This trend remains consistent even when considering his performance against the Dodgers, with an average of 1 hit. Despite his impressive hit streaks, the data suggests that Lee is more likely to hit fewer than 2.5 singles in the upcoming game. Therefore, the under 2.5 bet is a solid choice grounded in Lee's recent performance data.

Matt Chapman (SFG) Under 1.5 Walks (-476)

The under 1.5 walks bet for Matt Chapman in the Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Francisco Giants game is a promising bet based on Chapman's recent performance data. His last five overall and away games show an average of 1.2 walks, which is under the line of 1.5. Additionally, his plate appearances average (PA Avg) is 4 in overall games and 4.4 in away games, suggesting he doesn't often exceed the 1.5 walks in a game. Furthermore, his performance against the Dodgers also supports this bet, with an average of 1.4 walks in the last five games against this team. Lastly, his current hit streak is only 2 overall and 0 for away games, indicating that he's not in a particularly strong hitting form, which could lead to fewer walks. Therefore, the statistical data strongly suggests that Chapman is likely to have under 1.5 walks in this game.