Latest MLB betting preview: San Francisco Giants vs Arizona Diamondbacks. Get predictions and top picks. We analyze the top 6 MLB player props available. Keywords: MLB player props, best baseball prop bets today, player statistics predictions MLB.
Logan Webb (SFG) Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-135)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The under 6.5 strikeouts bet for Logan Webb is a solid choice, primarily due to his recent performance against the Arizona Diamondbacks and at home. In his last five matchups against the Diamondbacks, Webb has averaged 4.4 strikeouts per game, significantly below the line of 6.5. Furthermore, his strikeout average at home is also lower than the line, at 4.6. While his overall strikeout average is higher (7.6), this is likely skewed by performances against weaker teams or in more favorable conditions. The fact that his current hit streak both at home and overall is 0 further supports the under bet, indicating a recent dip in form. Therefore, based on Webb's lower strikeout rates against this specific opponent and at home, the under 6.5 strikeouts bet is statistically justified.
Bryce Elder (ATL) Over 2.5 Strikeouts (-345)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
Betting on Bryce Elder for Over 2.5 in the Pitcher Strikeouts (Alternate) market is a good choice due to his consistent performance. His last five overall average strikeouts (SO) is 4.6, which is significantly higher than the line of 2.5. His innings pitched (IP) average is also strong at 4.9, offering ample opportunities to achieve the desired strikeouts. Although his home game and against the Cubs averages are slightly lower, they are still at or above the line. Moreover, Elder is on a six-game overall hit streak and a three-game home hit streak, indicating his current form is strong. His ability to maintain high strikeout averages and his current form make the Over 2.5 strikeouts a statistically sound bet.
Jose Quintana (MIL) Over 3.5 Strikeouts (-128)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
Jose Quintana's recent performance indicates a solid bet on over 3.5 strikeouts. His last five games show a consistent ability to exceed this line, with an overall average of 4.4 strikeouts per game and an even higher average of 4.8 when playing away. This trend continues against the Texas Rangers, with Quintana averaging 5 strikeouts in his last five games against them. Furthermore, he averages around 6 innings per game, providing ample opportunity to secure the required strikeouts. Although his current hit streak is zero, this is less relevant to a strikeout bet. Therefore, based on Quintana's consistent ability to surpass 3.5 strikeouts, particularly in away games and against the Rangers, this bet is a strong choice.
Jose Quintana (MIL) Over 3.5 Strikeouts (-128)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
Based on the provided statistics, the bet on Jose Quintana for over 3.5 in the Pitcher Strikeouts (Alternate) market is a solid choice. Quintana's last five overall, away, and against opponent averages all exceed the line of 3.5. His overall strikeouts average is 4.4, away average is 4.8, and against the opponent average is 5. These figures indicate a consistent performance above the line, making it more likely for Quintana to achieve over 3.5 strikeouts. Additionally, his innings pitched averages in all three categories are above 5, suggesting he is typically in the game long enough to achieve the required strikeouts. Despite the current hit streak being zero, the historical data supports the potential of Quintana surpassing the 3.5 strikeouts line.
Bryan Woo (SEA) Over 3.5 Hits Allowed (-244)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Bryan Woo's statistical performance supports the bet for Over 3.5 in the Pitcher Hits Allowed market. In his last five games overall, Woo has averaged 4.8 hits allowed, which is above the line of 3.5. His performance at home is also consistent with this trend, averaging 4.6 hits allowed in his last five home games. Additionally, Woo's innings pitched (IP) averages indicate he typically stays in the game long enough to potentially allow more than 3.5 hits, with an overall IP average of 6.2 and a home IP average of 5.7. Finally, Woo is currently on a hit streak, having allowed hits in his last three overall games and last five home games. These factors combine to make the Over 3.5 bet a statistically sound choice.
Logan Webb (SFG) Over 0.5 Walks Allowed (-345)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Logan Webb for Over 0.5 in the Pitcher Walks Allowed market is a smart choice based on his recent performance data. Over his last five games, Webb has averaged 1.4 walks allowed overall and even higher at home with 1.8. This indicates a tendency to allow at least one walk per game, which is double the line set for this bet. Furthermore, his innings pitched averages are relatively high at 6 overall, 6.4 at home, and 6.6 against the opponent, suggesting he has ample opportunity in each game to allow a walk. Despite his current hit streak being at zero, his consistent history of allowing walks makes this bet a statistically sound choice.
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