Here are our AFL picks for Friday 14 August 2026. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is Jake Riccardi (GWS GIANTS) Over 1.5 Goals, priced at +195 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Jake Riccardi (GWS GIANTS) Over 1.5 Goals (+195)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Alright, footy punters, let's talk about Jake Riccardi. The young gun from Greater Western Sydney Giants has been on fire, averaging 1.8 goals over his last five home games. Facing off against the West Coast Eagles at ENGIE Stadium, Riccardi's recent form suggests he's primed to snag a couple of goals. With an impressive goal accuracy of 61.7% at home and a knack for getting involved in the scoring plays with 5.6 score involvements per game, Riccardi is a genuine goal-scoring threat. Add in his average of 2.4 shots at goal and 1.2 marks inside 50, and you've got a player who knows how to find the big sticks. Despite a slight dip in his last game, Riccardi's overall hit rate remains solid at 4 goals in his last 5 outings. Bet on the young forward to split the middle and back him to go over 1.5 goals in this matchup.

Jake Riccardi (GWS GIANTS) Over 0.5 Goals (-250)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Looking ahead to the clash between the Greater Western Sydney Giants and the West Coast Eagles, one player who stands out for a potential impact is Jake Riccardi. The young forward has been on a scoring spree lately, averaging 1.8 goals in his last 5 home games. With a solid goal accuracy of 61.7% and averaging 2.4 shots at goal per game, Riccardi has been a reliable scoring option for the Giants. Additionally, his consistent involvement in the forward line is evident through his average of 5.6 score involvements in his recent home matches. Facing the West Coast Eagles, a team he has historically performed well against, averaging 0.7 goals in their last 5 encounters, Riccardi is poised to continue his scoring form. Considering his recent goal-scoring prowess and the favorable matchup, backing Jake Riccardi to score over 0.5 goals seems like a smart play for this upcoming home game.

Jake Riccardi (GWS GIANTS) Over 9.5 Disposals (-200)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Jake Riccardi is poised to shine in front of the home crowd at ENGIE Stadium this Sunday. With a model predicting him to hit 12 disposals, a solid 4.7% edge suggests he's primed to surpass the 9.5 line set by sportsbet. Riccardi's recent form is encouraging, averaging 11 disposals in his last five home games, with a notable 13.7 against the Eagles. His ability to rack up kicks (6.4 avg) and cover ground (193.4 meters gained avg) showcases his impact on the field. Look for Riccardi to thrive in this matchup, utilizing his contested possessions (3 avg) and efficiency (72.8% avg) to contribute significantly to the Giants' midfield dominance. Betting on Riccardi to go over 9.5 disposals seems like a smart play given his recent performances and matchup history.

Jake Riccardi (GWS GIANTS) Over 10.5 Disposals (-143)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Alright, footy punters, let's talk about Jake Riccardi and why he's a prime pick for the 'Player Disposals Over' market in the upcoming clash between the Greater Western Sydney Giants and the West Coast Eagles. Riccardi's recent form is looking solid, averaging 11 disposals in his last five home games, with a whopping 13.7 against this very opponent. With an efficient disposal rate of 72.8% and an impressive 193.4 meters gained per game at home, he's a reliable ball carrier and a key target for the Giants. Although turnovers are a slight concern, his ability to find space and rack up uncontested possessions (8.4 average at home) bodes well for him hitting the over on 10.5 disposals. With the odds in our favor and Riccardi's consistency, backing him to shine in front of the home crowd is a savvy play.

Jake Riccardi (GWS GIANTS) Over 11.5 Disposals (-104)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Jake Riccardi, the rising star forward for Greater Western Sydney, is poised to shine in their clash against West Coast. Over his last five home games, Riccardi has been a dominant force, averaging 11 disposals per game, with a solid disposalefficiency of 72.8%. Facing the Eagles, he has historically stepped up his game, averaging 13.7 disposals in their recent encounters. With a line set at 11.5, Riccardi's consistent performance and ability to find the ball make him a prime candidate to surpass this mark. His knack for contested possessions and ability to gain significant metres bode well for him to have a standout game. Backing Riccardi to exceed 11.5 disposals is a smart play given his recent form and historical success against West Coast.

Jake Riccardi (GWS GIANTS) Over 12.5 Disposals (+129)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to Jake Riccardi, we're diving into a tale of potential waiting to be unleashed. The young gun has been showing hints of brilliance in recent home games, averaging a solid 11 disposals. Facing the West Coast Eagles, a team he already averages 13.7 disposals against in his last five matchups, the stage is set for him to shine. Riccardi's ability to cover the ground efficiently, reflected in his 72.8% disposal efficiency and 193.4 metres gained per game, showcases his impact when in possession. With a modest turnover average of 2.8, he's been honing his decision-making skills. Considering his recent form and the favorable matchup, backing Riccardi to surpass 12.5 disposals seems like a prudent move. The stats paint a picture of a player on the cusp of a breakout performance, making this prop bet a tantalizing prospect for footy punters.

That is the model's read on today's AFL card. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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