Dylan Harper (San Antonio Spurs) Under 3.5 Rebounds (+132)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Spurs gear up to host the Trail Blazers, Dylan Harper is a player to watch closely, particularly when it comes to his rebounding. At home, he's averaging 4.8 boards over his last five games; however, the matchup against Portland tells a different story. Historically, Harper has pulled in just 3 rebounds per game against the Blazers, and that's a trend that could very well continue. With an expected stat value of 3.04, the under on 3.5 rebounds feels like a savvy move. Sure, he's had a perfect hit rate lately, but the stats against this specific opponent suggest a slowdown. Plus, with a home hit rate of only 5 out of 11 over his last stretch, the numbers indicate that this is a prime opportunity to bet against the trend. Harper's rebounding might just fall short of the mark in this one.

Matisse Thybulle (Portland Trail Blazers) Under 1.5 Threes Made (+117)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Portland Trail Blazers head into San Antonio, all eyes will be on Matisse Thybulle, but if you're looking to wager, the smart money might be on the under for his three-pointers made. While he boasts an average of 2 threes in his last five games, that number dips to just 1.8 on the road. Against the Spurs, he's managed only 1 three per game over their last encounters, and when playing away, that number drops to a mere 0.7. With a hit rate of just 14 out of 20 overall, and a staggering 18 out of 20 when away, it's clear his shooting struggles intensify outside of Portland. Given these trends, taking the under on Thybulle feels like a calculated move in a matchup that may not favor his shooting rhythm.

Julian Champagnie (San Antonio Spurs) Under 5.5 Rebounds (+111)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Spurs prepare to host the Trail Blazers, all eyes will be on Julian Champagnie, particularly when it comes to his rebounding numbers. While Champagnie has been solid, averaging 6.6 boards over his last five games, let's take a closer look. At home, he's managed just 6 rebounds per game recently, and against Portland, that number drops to an average of 5.6. In fact, he's only cleared the 5.5 mark in just over half of his appearances against the Blazers at home-a telling trend given their competitive style of play. Given that he's hit the under in 9 of his last 16 games overall and 10 of 18 at home, it's hard to ignore the likelihood of him falling short on Thursday. With an expected value around 4.8, betting on the under seems like a savvy play as we anticipate a tightly contested matchup.

Donovan Clingan (Portland Trail Blazers) Under 11.5 Rebounds (-110)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Spurs host the Trail Blazers, eyes will be on Donovan Clingan, but the smart play is to fade him on the boards. While he's shown flashes of brilliance, averaging just 9.4 rebounds over his last five games and 10.8 when away, those numbers dip when he faces Portland. Clingan's recent matchups against the Blazers reveal an average of only 8.8 rebounds, and even more concerning, just 7.3 in Portland. With the Spurs' offense relying on perimeter shooting, rebounding opportunities may dwindle, especially as he navigates the paint against a physical Blazers front. Given that he's only hit the over in one of his last four outings, betting the under on Clingan's 11.5 rebounds feels like a savvy move. It's not just about the numbers; it's about recognizing the trends and the matchup dynamics at play.

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