On Saturday 5 September 2026, Purdue Boilermakers play Indiana State Sycamores in college football. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Over 57.5 Total Points, priced at -110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Over 57.5 Total Points (-110)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Purdue has been scoring well lately, showing off a strong offense that can put points on the board. Indiana State's defense has struggled against teams with good attacks, which could lead to a lot of scoring in this matchup. We're betting on the total points going over 57.5 because our numbers suggest there's a good chance for a higher score. Purdue's offense is rated quite a bit higher than Indiana State's defense, and that could make for an exciting game. The biggest risk here is that both teams are close in skill, which means it could be tighter than expected. However, with our model predicting around 66.4 total points, there's a solid opportunity for this game to go over. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.09 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Indiana State Sycamores +35.5 on the Line (-108)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Indiana State has been showing some good fight lately, and they've got a solid chance to keep things close against Purdue. Betting on Indiana State to stay within 35.5 points seems like a smart move, especially since our numbers show it's nearly a toss-up. Purdue is the favorite, but they're not unbeatable. The most concrete risk here is that they might win by a bit more than expected, as our model thinks they'll win by about 34.8 points. Still, Indiana State has been competitive, so they could easily cover that spread. It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.26 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Purdue Boilermakers v Indiana State Sycamores. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

Unlock the rest of this one

You're reading the free preview. One plan unlocks the full article and every pick we back — every league, every day.

Unlock the full article