Draymond Green (Golden State Warriors) Under 6.5 Assists (-132)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Warriors gear up to face the Suns, all eyes will be on Draymond Green, but betting on him for over 6.5 assists could be a risky play. While he's averaged a solid 8 assists in his last five games overall, his numbers dip significantly when playing away, where he's only dished out 6.6 assists on average. Against Phoenix, Green's recent history is even less encouraging-averaging just 3.4 assists in their last five meetings. Considering the Warriors will be on the road, where Green has hit the under on this mark five out of his last seven games, it's tough to see him breaking that trend. With an expected stat value of only 4.6 assists, this feels like the right spot to fade Green. The Suns' defense will likely keep him from reaching that 6.5 threshold, making the under a strong play in this matchup.

Gui Santos (Golden State Warriors) Under 17.5 Points + Rebounds (-118)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Golden State Warriors gear up to face the Phoenix Suns, all eyes will be on Gui Santos, particularly for his points and rebounds prop. Betting the under at 17.5 feels like a savvy play given his recent trends. In his last five games, Santos has averaged just 14.8 points and 4.8 rebounds, which is below the mark we need him to hit. When playing away, those numbers drop even more, with just 11.8 points and 6.4 rebounds. Against the Suns, he's managed only 8.2 points per game in their last five encounters, clearly struggling to find his rhythm. Plus, the Suns' defense is no pushover, adding to the likelihood that Santos won't meet this threshold. With a solid hit rate of 2 out of his last 3 games falling under this total, it seems prudent to take the under and ride this trend.

Gui Santos (Golden State Warriors) Under 12.5 Points (-125)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Phoenix Suns face off against the Golden State Warriors, all eyes will be on Gui Santos, but a closer look suggests he might struggle to reach 12.5 points. Despite averaging 14.8 points over his last five games, his away performances tell a different story, with just 11.8 points on average. Against the Warriors, Santos has historically struggled, posting only 7.2 points in their past matchups, and even less, at 8.2 points, when playing in Golden State. With a hit rate of only 2 out of 3 in his last three games and a notable dip in performance on the road-where he's hit the under in 3 of his last 4 away games-this matchup doesn't favor him. The data paints a clear picture: betting on Santos to stay under 12.5 points could be a savvy move, considering the trends and his expected stat value of just 8.08.

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