On Sunday 23 August 2026, Phoenix Mercury play Atlanta Dream in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 194.5 Total Points, priced at -769 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Under 194.5 Total Points (-769)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
As the Phoenix Mercury prepare to host the Atlanta Dream at PHX Arena, the stage is set for a clash that could see defenses reign supreme. Both teams have shown a tendency to slow the pace, especially in crucial matchups. The Mercury, while boasting offensive talent, often find themselves leaning on their defensive strategies to grind out wins. Similarly, the Dream have favored a more methodical approach, relying on their ability to disrupt opposing offenses. With our model projecting a combined total closer to 168.5, it's clear that these teams may struggle to hit the high mark set at 194.5. Expect a battle of attrition rather than a scoring frenzy. The under looks particularly appealing as both squads will likely prioritize defensive intensity over fast breaks, making this game a potential undercard for scoring fireworks. Buckle up for a tightly contested affair where points come at a premium. It was priced at -769 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.30 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Phoenix Mercury +18.5 on the Line (-588)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Phoenix Mercury play Atlanta Dream in the WNBA on Sunday 23 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is Phoenix Mercury +18.5 on the Line. That is a points handicap bet. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. It was priced at -588 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.70 if it lands. It is on at PHX Arena in Phoenix. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
Phoenix Mercury play Atlanta Dream in the WNBA on Sunday 23 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is Jordin Canada Over 8.5 Points. That is a player points bet. It was priced at -250 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14 if it lands. It is on at PHX Arena in Phoenix. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Alyssa Thomas Over 28.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-213)
Odds available at BetOnline at time of publishing
Phoenix Mercury play Atlanta Dream in the WNBA on Sunday 23 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is Alyssa Thomas Over 28.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists. That is a player points, rebounds and assists combined bet. It was priced at -213 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.70 if it lands. It is on at PHX Arena in Phoenix. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Phoenix Mercury play Atlanta Dream in the WNBA on Sunday 23 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is Sami Whitcomb Under 7.5 Points. That is a player points bet. It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.30 if it lands. It is on at PHX Arena in Phoenix. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Phoenix Mercury v Atlanta Dream. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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