On Sunday 23 August 2026, New York Liberty play Indiana Fever in the WNBA. Our model likes 4 bets here. The one it likes most is Indiana Fever +12.5 on the Line, priced at -400 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Indiana Fever +12.5 on the Line (-400)

Odds available at BetRivers at time of publishing

When the New York Liberty host the Indiana Fever at Barclays Center, expect a fascinating clash of styles. The Liberty, with their explosive offense, often dictate the pace, but the Fever have shown resilience, particularly on the road. They've been sneaky competitive, especially against elite teams, and this matchup could play right into their hands. Our model suggests a razor-thin margin of just under one point favoring the Liberty, hinting at a closer contest than anticipated. Given Indiana's ability to stretch the game and exploit mismatches, taking Indiana +12.5 feels like a smart play. With the Fever's determination to prove they can hang with the top tier, they're likely to keep it respectable. Expect a spirited effort from Indiana, making that alternate spread a strategic move that could pay dividends as they look to challenge the Liberty's rhythm at home. It was priced at -400 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12.50 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Breanna Stewart Under 31.5 Points and Rebounds (-115)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

New York Liberty play Indiana Fever in the WNBA on Sunday 23 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is Breanna Stewart Under 31.5 Points and Rebounds. That is a player points and rebounds combined bet. It was priced at -115 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.70 if it lands. It is on at Barclays Center in New York. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Kelsey Mitchell Under 3.5 Three-Pointers Made (-179)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

New York Liberty play Indiana Fever in the WNBA on Sunday 23 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is Kelsey Mitchell Under 3.5 Three-Pointers Made. That is a player three-pointers made bet. It was priced at -179 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.60 if it lands. It is on at Barclays Center in New York. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Caitlin Clark Under 8.5 Assists (+105)

Odds available at BetOnline at time of publishing

As the New York Liberty prepare to face off against the Indiana Fever at Barclays Center, all eyes will be on Caitlin Clark, but we're leaning towards an intriguing angle in the assists market. While her playmaking prowess is undeniable, our projections suggest she may fall just short of that 8.5 assists mark, sitting around 8.2. The Fever's defensive scheme has shown resilience lately, effectively closing down key passing lanes and forcing turnovers. Clark thrives in a fast-paced game, but the Fever have been known to slow things down, which could limit her opportunities to dish out assists. Plus, with other Liberty players stepping up, she might find herself more focused on scoring than facilitating. Given these dynamics, targeting the under feels like a savvy play as we anticipate a tighter contest than expected, making Clark's assist total a compelling under bet. It was priced at +105 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20.50 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads New York Liberty v Indiana Fever. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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