Andy Pages (NA) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-156)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Yankees host the Dodgers, all eyes will be on Andy Pages, but betting the under on his total bases feels like the savvy move. Sure, Pages has shown flashes of brilliance this season, but facing a Yankees pitching staff that has been dominant, particularly at home, complicates things. New York's rotation has limited opponents to a meager .220 batting average over the past month, with a strikeout rate that can stifle even the most promising hitters. Pages, while talented, has struggled in high-pressure situations, particularly against power pitchers. He’s hit the under on this line frequently, and with the Yankees’ bullpen ready to lock things down late, it’s hard to see him breaking through. Given the current form of both the Yankees’ pitching and Pages’ recent performances, backing the under 1.5 total bases seems like a wise decision as the game unfolds.

Freddie Freeman (ATL) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-147)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Dodgers roll into New York, Freddie Freeman’s recent form raises a few eyebrows regarding his total bases. While he’s a formidable hitter, the Yankees’ pitching staff has found its groove lately, with a solid 3.60 ERA over the last month and a strikeout rate that recently climbed above 25%. Freeman has faced some tough lefties recently, and with the Yankees likely throwing a southpaw, he may find himself in a challenging matchup. Plus, in a high-pressure environment like Yankee Stadium, the slight changes in his swing could cost him those extra bases. The Dodgers have also shown a tendency to spread the wealth, and with how their lineup is constructed, Freeman might not be the primary target for power hitting tonight. Given these dynamics, betting on Freeman to stay under 1.5 total bases feels like the right call in this matchup.

Cody Bellinger (LAD) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-172)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Yankees host the Dodgers on July 17, all eyes will be on Cody Bellinger. Historically, Bellinger has been a powerhouse, but lately, he's struggled to find his rhythm against elite pitching. The Yankees boast a formidable rotation, and with Gerrit Cole on the mound, Bellinger faces one of the toughest challenges in the league. Cole’s ability to generate swings and misses, combined with a low opponent batting average, suggests runs will be hard to come by. Moreover, Bellinger's recent form has trended downward: his hard-hit percentage has dipped, and he’s not making the same consistent contact that made him a household name. With the odds favoring the under on 1.5 total bases, it’s reasonable to think he might struggle to clear that mark against a Yankees lineup that thrives on limiting opponent production. Betting the under here aligns perfectly with the current landscape of both teams.

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