Francisco Lindor (NYM) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-909)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The under 0.5 bet for Francisco Lindor's stolen bases is a solid choice, considering the given data. Lindor's recent performance does not indicate a high likelihood of a stolen base. In his last five games overall and at home, he has averaged 0 stolen bases. Additionally, when facing the Mariners, his average stolen bases remain at 0. Even though he has a commendable current hit streak, this does not translate into stolen bases. It's also important to note his average caught stealing (Cs) rate is 0, which suggests he's not attempting many stolen bases. Therefore, betting under 0.5 stolen bases for Lindor is statistically justified.

Josh Naylor (ARI) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-909)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Josh Naylor for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a strong choice based on his recent performance data. Naylor has consistently shown a lack of stolen bases in recent games, with an average of zero stolen bases in his last five overall games, last five away games, and last five games against this opponent, the New York Mets. Additionally, Naylor's average of caught stealing (Cs) is higher than his stolen bases, indicating a higher risk and lower success rate in stealing bases. Despite his current hit streaks, these do not translate into successful stolen bases. Therefore, the statistical trends suggest that it's highly unlikely for Naylor to steal a base in the upcoming game, making the bet for Under 0.5 a sound choice.

Cedric Mullins (BAL) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-667)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The betting choice of 'Under 0.5' for Cedric Mullins in the Batter Stolen Bases market is primarily driven by his recent performance data. Mullins has shown no stolen bases in his last five overall and away games, as indicated by his L5 overall and away SB averages. Even when factoring in his performance against the opposition, his L5 vs Opp SB average is only 0.3. This suggests a low probability of him stealing a base in the upcoming game. Despite his current hit streaks, they have not translated into stolen bases, further supporting the 'Under 0.5' bet. Thus, based on Mullins' recent batting and stealing performance, the bet is a statistically sound choice.

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