Rhamondre Stevenson (NE) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+220)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Betting on Rhamondre Stevenson to score a touchdown at any time during the Patriots vs. Giants game is a risky proposition, given his recent performance and trends. Over his last 5 games, Stevenson has not scored a touchdown, maintaining an overall and home hit rate of 0/5. His hit rate over the last 10 games is also weak, with no touchdowns in the last 10 games overall and just 3 at home. His overall hit rate is 15/53, which is slightly better, but still not promising. However, a glimmer of hope is his performance against the Giants. He's scored in their only previous encounter, maintaining a hit rate of 1/1. Despite this, his current overall and home hit streaks are zero, indicating a recent lack of scoring. The model edge, which represents the expected advantage over the bookmaker's odds, is also quite low at 0.1898 or 18.98%. The numbers suggest

Hunter Henry (NE) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+205)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Based on the recent performance data provided, it's hard to make a case for betting on Hunter Henry to score a touchdown in the upcoming game between the New England Patriots and the New York Giants. Henry has not scored a touchdown in his last 10 games overall, and in his last 20 games, he has only scored once. His hit rate at home is slightly better, with 4 touchdowns in the last 20 games, but he is currently on a zero-game scoring streak both at home and overall. While the model indicates a slight edge of 0.174475, this figure might not be enough to overcome Henry's recent lackluster performance in terms of scoring touchdowns. Therefore, statistical reasoning suggests that betting on Henry to score a touchdown in this particular game might be a risky proposition.

New England Patriots vs New York Giants : NA -7.5 Point Spread (+100)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on New England Patriots -7.5 in the 'spreads' market is backed by a strong statistical performance of the Patriots and a less than optimal performance from the away team. Looking at their last five games, the Patriots have a solid home record of 5-0 overall and 4-1 at home. Their point differential is positive both overall (8.8) and at home (11), suggesting they've been consistently outscoring their opponents. On the other hand, the away team has struggled recently, with a 0-5 record both overall and on the road. Their point differential is negative (-9.2 overall, -8.4 on the road), indicating they've been outscored by their opponents. In terms of EPA (Expected Points Added), the Patriots also have a higher differential both overall (10.10) and at home (11.34) compared to the away team (-9.48 overall, -7.12

See All Our Picks

You're viewing a preview. Subscribe today to unlock the full article and gain access to all our expert insights and best bets - every single day.

Get Bet Better Pro