Brandon Lockridge (SDP) Under 1.5 Walks (-588)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Brewers host the Blue Jays, keep an eye on Brandon Lockridge’s walk count—it’s likely to stay under 1.5 tonight. Lockridge, while showing promise at the plate, has struggled to draw walks consistently, averaging less than one walk per game lately. The Brewers’ pitching staff has been particularly stingy, boasting a strikeout-to-walk ratio that’s among the best in the league, making it tough for opposing hitters to find their way on base for free. Moreover, Lockridge faces a tough matchup against Milwaukee's ace, who has shown an ability to keep hitters off balance, reducing their chances to take a walk. With Lockridge's recent trends and the Brewers' strong pitching, betting on him to finish with under 1.5 walks feels like a smart play in this matchup. Expect him to swing more often than sit back and take pitches.

Daulton Varsho (ARI) Under 1.5 Walks (-625)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Brewers gear up to host the Blue Jays, all eyes will be on Daulton Varsho when it comes to assessing the walks market. Despite his undeniable talent, Varsho has had a bit of a rough patch recently, averaging just 0.15 walks per game, which is well below today’s line of 1.5. Milwaukee’s pitching staff has been particularly stingy, with their starters boasting a solid walk rate, putting pressure on batters to be more aggressive. Varsho’s tendency to swing at pitches, combined with the Brewers’ ability to command the strike zone, creates a perfect storm for a low walk count. Moreover, he’s only managed to draw a walk in a handful of games lately, making the under a compelling narrative. With the Brewers looking to stifle the Jays' lineup, expect Varsho to stay under that 1.5 mark tonight.

Brandon Lockridge (SDP) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-1000)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Brewers gear up to host the Blue Jays, all eyes will be on Brandon Lockridge's base-stealing potential. However, diving into the numbers reveals a compelling case for the "Under 0.5" on his stolen bases. Lockridge has been cautious on the base paths this season, with a mere 0.06 predicted steals per game, highlighting a tendency to play it safe rather than take risks. The Brewers' pitching staff, particularly their ability to hold runners, has been impressive, limiting opponents to an unusually low success rate. Add in the fact that Lockridge isn’t exactly a speedster on the bases, and the case strengthens. He thrives in a more conservative role, focusing on getting on base rather than taking chances. Overall, with an implied probability hovering around 90.9%, the under on Lockridge's stolen bases looks like a savvy play as both teams clash in what should be a tightly contested matchup.

See All Our Picks

You're viewing a preview. Subscribe today to unlock the full article and gain access to all our expert insights and best bets - every single day.

Get Bet Better Pro