On Sunday 23 August 2026, Mason Jones takes on MarQuel Mederos in the UFC. Our model likes one bet here. The one it likes most is Marquel Mederos to Win, priced at +290 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Marquel Mederos to Win (+290)

Odds available at Matchbook at time of publishing

I like MarQuel Mederos to win his fight against Mason Jones. Mederos has some solid striking skills, which could give him the upper hand if he keeps the fight standing. Jones is tough and has experience, but Mederos is the underdog here and could surprise everyone with a big performance. At those odds, it's a bit of a long shot, but he definitely has a real chance to take home the win. Just remember, anything can happen in the ring! It was priced at +290 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $39 if it lands. This is a long shot at the price, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

The tale of the tape:

  • MarQuel Mederos: last five W-W-W-W, on a 4-fight win streak, 8% of career wins came by knockout, 441 days since the last fight
  • Mason Jones: last five W-W-W-L-W, on a 3-fight win streak, 5% of career wins came by knockout, 154 days since the last fight

That is how our model reads Mason Jones v MarQuel Mederos. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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