On Wednesday 19 August 2026, Connecticut Sun play Los Angeles Sparks in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 187.5 Total Points, priced at -500 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Under 187.5 Total Points (-500)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
As the Connecticut Sun host the Los Angeles Sparks at Mohegan Sun Arena, the stage is set for a matchup that seems destined for a defensive showdown. Both teams have been leaning heavily on their defensive prowess, with the Sun ranking among the top in the league for points allowed. The Sparks, while still finding their offensive rhythm, have struggled to consistently score against tougher defenses. With the Sun's methodical pace and emphasis on half-court execution, we're likely to see possessions stretch out, further limiting scoring opportunities. Our model forecasts a combined total of around 160.9 points, suggesting there's a significant gap between reality and the line. Expect both teams to grind it out, relying on their defenses to dictate the tempo. In this battle of wills, the under on 187.5 appears to be a wise play, as the scoreboard may not reflect the intensity on the court. It was priced at -500 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Connecticut Sun +5.5 on the Line (-189)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
As the Connecticut Sun prepare to host the Los Angeles Sparks at Mohegan Sun Arena, this matchup shapes up to be a compelling clash. The Sun have been formidable at home, leveraging their fast-paced style to create scoring opportunities, while the Sparks have struggled to find their rhythm on the road. Connecticut's ability to push the tempo plays right into their hands, allowing them to exploit defensive lapses from Los Angeles. While our model paints a razor-thin margin, the Sun's home-court advantage and depth could tip the scales in their favor. Expect the Sun to capitalize on their familiarity with the arena and the raucous support from their fans. With their high-energy offense and tenacious defense, they should cover the 5.5-point spread comfortably, setting the stage for a statement victory that reinforces their playoff positioning. It was priced at -189 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.30 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Rae Burrell Under 2.5 Three-Pointers Made (-167)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Connecticut Sun play Los Angeles Sparks in the WNBA on Wednesday 19 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is Rae Burrell Under 2.5 Three-Pointers Made. That is a player three-pointers made bet. It was priced at -167 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.00 if it lands. It is on at Mohegan Sun Arena in Connecticut. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Ariel Atkins Over 9.5 Points and Assists (-244)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Connecticut Sun play Los Angeles Sparks in the WNBA on Wednesday 19 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is Ariel Atkins Over 9.5 Points and Assists. That is a player points and assists combined bet. It was priced at -244 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.10 if it lands. It is on at Mohegan Sun Arena in Connecticut. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Connecticut Sun play Los Angeles Sparks in the WNBA on Wednesday 19 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is Erica Wheeler Over 4.5 Assists. That is a player assists bet. It was priced at -175 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.70 if it lands. It is on at Mohegan Sun Arena in Connecticut. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Connecticut Sun v Los Angeles Sparks. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
Unlock the rest of this one
You're reading the free preview. One plan unlocks the full article and every pick we back — every league, every day.
Unlock the full article