Tarik Skubal (DET) Over 1.5 Hits Allowed (-2500)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Tarik Skubal for Over 1.5 in the Pitcher Hits Allowed (Alternate) market is backed by his recent performance data. Skubal's last five games show an average of 5.4 hits allowed overall, and 5.6 hits when playing away. This is well above the line of 1.5. Additionally, his innings pitched (IP) averages are 5.6 overall and 5.5 away, suggesting he typically stays in the game long enough to allow more than 1.5 hits. Furthermore, his current hit streaks, both overall (27) and away (14), indicate a consistent pattern of allowing hits. Lastly, his stats against the Cleveland Guardians also support this bet, with an average of 5.5 hits allowed in their last five matchups. This statistical data suggests a high likelihood that Skubal will allow more than 1.5 hits in the upcoming game.

Zach McKinstry (DET) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-1250)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Betting on Zach McKinstry for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a strong choice considering his recent performance data. Over the last 5 games, McKinstry hasn't stolen any bases, whether playing at home or away. When facing the Cleveland Guardians, his stolen base average remains at zero. Furthermore, he has not been caught stealing in any of his last 5 games, indicating a low propensity for attempting stolen bases. Even though he has a strong current hit streak both overall and away, his past records show no correlation between getting hits and stealing bases. Therefore, based on the historical data, it's statistically unlikely for McKinstry to steal a base in the upcoming game.

Gavin Williams (CLE) Over 0.5 Walks Allowed (-714)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Gavin Williams for Over 0.5 in the Pitcher Walks Allowed market is driven by his consistent performance data. Over his last five games, Williams has averaged 2.4 walks overall, 2 at home, and 1.5 against the Tigers, all comfortably above the 0.5 line. His average innings pitched and outs achieved, both overall and at home, suggest he typically plays long enough into games for a walk to occur. His current hit streaks, 13 overall and 8 at home, further demonstrate his tendency to allow opponents to reach base. Although walks and hits are not the same, both indicate a pitcher's control and command issues. Therefore, given Williams' averages and streaks, it's statistically likely he will allow at least one walk in the game against the Tigers.

See All Our Picks

You're viewing a preview. Subscribe today to unlock the full article and gain access to all our expert insights and best bets - every single day.

Get Bet Better Pro