Luke Raley (SEA) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-1000)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Luke Raley for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a good choice based on his recent performance data. In the last five games overall, Raley has not had any stolen bases. The same trend is seen in his last five away games and games against the current opponent, the Chicago Cubs. Furthermore, no successful attempts to catch him stealing were made in these games, indicating that he might not be taking risks on the bases. Despite his impressive hit streaks, both overall and away, these have not translated into stolen bases. Therefore, based on these statistics, it's reasonable to predict that Raley is unlikely to steal a base in the upcoming game against the Cubs.

Logan Gilbert (SEA) Over 3.5 Strikeouts (-1111)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Logan Gilbert's performance data strongly supports the bet for over 3.5 strikeouts. His last five games show an overall average of 8.2 strikeouts, which is more than double the line set for this bet. Even when considering only away games, his average remains high at 7 strikeouts. This suggests that Gilbert is consistently able to achieve this performance, irrespective of the location. Furthermore, his current hit streaks, both overall and away, show a sustained period of high performance. When playing against the Cubs, his innings pitched average is 6.2, providing ample opportunity for strikeouts. Therefore, Gilbert's strong and consistent performance in strikeouts, regardless of playing location or opponent, makes this bet a statistically sound choice.

Nico Hoerner (CHC) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-476)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Nico Hoerner for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is statistically grounded. Hoerner's recent performance shows a lack of stolen bases, with an average of zero in his last five overall and home games. Furthermore, his average caught stealing (Cs) rate in the last five games overall and at home is 0.2, indicating that he is not frequently attempting steals. Even when considering his performance against the Mariners, his stolen base average is only 0.2. Despite his current hit streak, the data suggests that Hoerner is more likely to score through hits rather than stolen bases. Consequently, the under 0.5 bet for Hoerner's stolen bases is a statistically sound choice.

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