Best NBA Parlay Picks Today, Thursday 03/26 (7-Leg) : Expert Selections

As the Pistons prepare to host the Hawks, all signs point to a strong case for taking the under on Daniss Jenkins' assists at 9.5. While Jenkins has been a solid playmaker, averaging 7 assists in his last five games, his recent performance against Atlanta tells a different story. At home, he's averaged just 3.5 assists against this particular opponent. The numbers don't lie: he's hit the under in 16 straight home games, and if we look at his overall stats, he's consistently underwhelmed against the Hawks, averaging only 4.7 assists in their matchups. With an expected stat value of just 4.99 and an impressive 78.1% implied probability for hitting the under, it seems Jenkins may struggle to facilitate as much as the line suggests. Betting on the under feels like the smart move here, especially in front of a home crowd that will be buzzing but not necessarily feeding him assists.

Ace Bailey (Utah Jazz) Under 42.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-357)

As the Utah Jazz prepare to host the Washington Wizards, all eyes will be on Ace Bailey. While he's certainly a talented player, the numbers suggest this might not be his night to shine. Over his last 20 games, Bailey's combined points, rebounds, and assists have consistently fallen short of the 42.5 mark, hitting the under 18 times. Playing at home has been a double-edged sword for him; while he enjoys the familiar surroundings, he's still averaged around 23.42 in this category. The Wizards, known for their defensive grit lately, could limit Bailey's opportunities even further. With an implied probability of 78.1% for this under to hit, it seems wise to bank on a quieter performance from Bailey in this matchup. Sometimes, it's the quieter nights that tell the bigger story, and this could be one of them.

Ace Bailey (Utah Jazz) Under 31.5 Points (-333)

As the Utah Jazz gear up to face the Washington Wizards, all eyes are on Ace Bailey, but betting on him to score under 31.5 points might just be the smart play. Bailey has been a remarkable scorer, yet the stats suggest a different tale for this matchup. With an expected point total hovering around 17.32, it's clear he might not find the same rhythm against a Wizards defense that has tightened up recently. Additionally, Bailey's hit rate is telling-he's gone under in 17 of his last 20 games, with an even stronger home performance, hitting under 18 times in his last 20 at home. When you consider the Jazz's overall strategy to distribute the ball and the implied probability suggesting a 76.9% chance of hitting the under, it feels prudent to take this route. Sometimes, less is more, especially when the numbers align so convincingly.

Will Riley (Washington Wizards) Under 23.5 Points (-333)

As the Washington Wizards gear up to face the Utah Jazz, all eyes will be on Will Riley, but betting on him to exceed 23.5 points could be a misstep. The data suggests that Riley has been consistent, but not in the way you might think. He has hit that under mark in his last 20 games-an incredible 100% hit rate-and when playing away, he's managed to stay under in all of his last nine outings. Against the Jazz, who possess a solid defensive scheme, Riley may find it tough to find his rhythm. The Jazz are known for stifling opposing scorers, further complicating Riley's chances of breaking through that 23.5 threshold. With an expected stat value of only 11.83 points and a staggering implied probability of 76.9% for the under, it's hard to imagine him finding the net with any frequency tonight.

Ace Bailey (Utah Jazz) Under 9.5 Rebounds (-588)

As the Utah Jazz gear up to face the Washington Wizards, all eyes should be on Ace Bailey's rebounding numbers, particularly with the line set at 9.5. While Bailey has shown flashes of brilliance, he's consistently fallen short of this threshold, racking up fewer than 5 boards in most recent games. The stat that's hard to overlook? He's hit the under on 20 straight occasions, both at home and overall-an astounding run that underscores his struggles on the glass.With the Jazz playing at home, the team's dynamics can shift, but Bailey's role in the lineup suggests he might not be in a position to dominate the boards as one might expect. Given the Wizards' recent rebounding efficiency, it's reasonable to anticipate Bailey will again find himself under the 9.5 mark. This makes the under a compelling play in this matchup, and with an implied probability of 85.5%, it feels like a no-brainer.

Victor Wembanyama (San Antonio Spurs) Under 15.5 Rebounds (-588)

As the Spurs head into Memphis, all eyes will be on Victor Wembanyama, but betting on him to grab more than 15.5 rebounds might be a stretch. Sure, he's a force on the boards, but recent performances tell a different story. Over his last five games, he's averaged 11.2 rebounds overall, which dips to just 11.4 away from home. Facing a Grizzlies team that's tough on the glass, Wembanyama's numbers against them have been particularly underwhelming-averaging only 9.2 rebounds in the last five matchups, with just 7.2 in Memphis. With a hit rate of 9 for his last 9 games, the expectation is still high, but it's crucial to recognize the context. The odds of him staying under 15.5 are promising, especially considering the implied probability of 85.5%. In this matchup, it feels wise to lean towards the under