Expert analysis and top MLB betting picks for Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Francisco Giants. Check out our 7-leg player prop parlay. Discover MLB parlay picks, player prop parlay bets, best MLB parlay today, baseball parlay.
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
As the Diamondbacks gear up to face the Giants on July 2, it’s worth taking a closer look at Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s recent form against a formidable San Francisco pitching staff. Gurriel has been somewhat inconsistent lately, hitting just under 30% in his last few games. Facing the Giants' ace, who boasts an impressive strikeout rate, he could find himself struggling to make solid contact. Moreover, the Giants have been adept at limiting opposing batters, particularly against left-handed hitters, where they excel in ground ball rates. With Gurriel's current average and the Giants' strong defensive metrics, it’s hard to envision him crossing that 4.5 total bases mark this game. The combination of a tough pitching matchup and Gurriel's recent struggles makes the "Under" an enticing play, especially with the implied probability strongly favoring this outcome.
Ketel Marte (NA) Under 6.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-323)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
As the Diamondbacks gear up to host the Giants, Ketel Marte might find himself in a tight spot at the plate. While he’s a dynamic player, the recent trends suggest he could struggle to reach that 6.5 mark in hits, runs, and RBIs. The Giants’ pitching staff has been formidable lately, boasting a solid 3.30 ERA over the last 14 days. They’ve effectively neutralized opposing hitters, and with their bullpen’s impressive ability to close out games, big numbers are hard to come by. Marte has faced the Giants' ace recently and has managed only a handful of hits across those matchups, demonstrating the challenges he faces. Plus, with the Diamondbacks' lineup encountering a bit of a slump, it’s tough to envision Marte racking up the stats needed to hit that Over. Betting on the Under feels like the prudent choice in this matchup, especially given the current form of both teams.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (NA) Under 5.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-323)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
As the Diamondbacks host the Giants, keep an eye on Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s performance, particularly on the under for his combined hits, runs, and RBIs, set at 5.5. Recent trends show that Gurriel has been in a bit of a funk at the plate, struggling against left-handed pitching, which bodes well for him facing San Francisco's southpaw. Moreover, the Giants' pitching staff has been stingy, limiting opponents to lower scoring across the board. With a model prediction suggesting just 1.57 contributions from Gurriel, it’s clear the odds could favor the under. Combine that with Arizona’s tendency to have sporadic offensive output, and you have a recipe for Gurriel not reaching that 5.5 mark. In this matchup, it’s all about the stars aligning for the under to hit, making it a savvy play as the teams take the field.
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
As the Dodgers roll into Oakland, all eyes are on Freddie Freeman, but holding him under 2.5 hits feels like the prudent call here. Despite his impressive season, Freeman has been facing a potent Athletics bullpen that’s quietly held opposing batters in check. Over the last month, Oakland’s pitchers have tightened up, allowing just a .230 batting average against. Furthermore, Freeman has been dealing with some inconsistency lately, recording fewer multi-hit games than usual. The pressure of facing a solid A’s pitching staff, combined with the potential for a tough matchup with their left-handed relievers, could easily stymie his efforts at the plate. Given that the model is projecting him for just 0.75 hits, and the implied probability suggests a hefty 77.5% chance he stays under, it’s a compelling angle to take the under on Freeman’s hits tonight. Keep an eye on the game—it might just play out as predicted.
Mookie Betts (LAD) Under 2.5 Hits (-370)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
As the Athletics gear up to face the formidable Dodgers, Mookie Betts’ bat is a focal point, but betting on him to go over 2.5 hits feels risky. Betts has been stellar this season, yet his recent performance against left-handed pitchers, particularly those like the A's starter, suggests a potential struggle. With Oakland’s pitching staff surprisingly effective lately, they’ve limited opponents to a modest batting average. Moreover, the Dodgers have been winning games with their pitching rather than relying solely on the offense. With Betts hitting just over the mark in recent matchups against lefties and Oakland’s crafty pitchers holding steady at the plate, it’s reasonable to expect him to come in under that 2.5 hits threshold. The trends point towards a game where even a player of Betts’ caliber could find the going tough, making the 'Under' a compelling bet in this matchup.
Mookie Betts (LAD) Under 4.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-278)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
As the Athletics prepare to host the Dodgers, all eyes will be on Mookie Betts, but taking the 'Under 4.5' for his combined hits, runs, and RBIs might just be the savvy play. Lately, Betts has faced some formidable pitching, and with the Athletics’ lefty Alex Cobb on the mound, things could get tricky. Cobb has been surprisingly effective, posting a solid ERA and limiting hard contact, making it tough for hitters to find their rhythm. Moreover, Betts has been in a bit of a funk, with his production dipping recently. The Dodgers’ lineup, while potent, has often been held in check on the road, especially against quality arms. Given the matchup and the recent trends, betting the under seems to align perfectly with the dynamics at play. Expect a tightly contested game where Betts may struggle to reach that 4.5 benchmark.
Ketel Marte (NA) Under 5.5 Total Bases (-400)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
As we look ahead to Thursday's showdown between the Diamondbacks and Giants, Ketel Marte stands out for a different reason than his usual offensive prowess. Over the past few weeks, Marte has struggled to find his rhythm at the plate, posting a modest .240 batting average against right-handers. With San Francisco's starter on the mound, who has excelled in limiting hard contact and generating ground balls, Marte might find the going tough. The Giants' bullpen has also been surprisingly effective, boasting a solid ERA during clutch situations. Given that Marte's plate appearances can often lead to more groundouts than explosive hits lately, betting on him to stay under 5.5 total bases appears wise. With his recent trends and the Giants' strong pitching, it’s hard to envision a big day for Marte, making the 'Under' a compelling play as the teams square off.
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