Willson Contreras (STL) Under 3.5 RBIs (-588)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Angels host the Red Sox, a keen eye should be on Willson Contreras and his RBI output. While the Red Sox lineup boasts some heavy hitters, Contreras has struggled to find consistent opportunities to drive in runs. His recent performance shows a dip in driving in multiple runs, particularly against right-handed pitching, which the Angels' starter brings to the mound. The Angels have been solid defensively at home, limiting opponents’ scoring chances and leaving Contreras with fewer opportunities to capitalize. With a model prediction hovering around 0.38 RBIs, it paints a clear picture that he may struggle to eclipse the 3.5 mark. Given the defensive prowess of Los Angeles and Contreras' recent stats, betting the under on his RBIs appears to be a smart play in this matchup. Keep an eye on the game’s flow, but expectations should be tempered for the Red Sox backstop.

Jo Adell (LAA) Under 2.5 Singles (-417)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Angels gear up to face the Red Sox, all eyes will be on Jo Adell, but betting on him to register over 2.5 singles might not be the safest play. Adell has shown flashes of brilliance this season but has struggled to maintain consistency at the plate, particularly against right-handed pitching. The Red Sox, with their potent lineup, are no slouches on the mound, especially with their recent pitching performances that have kept opposing hitters in check. Adell’s recent trend leans towards fewer singles, especially with the way he’s been attacked by opposing pitchers, often leaning towards power rather than placement. Given the likelihood of seeing a heavy dose of Boston's bullpen, which has been effective in limiting hits, it’s reasonable to expect Adell will have a tough time notching those three singles. The under on 2.5 seems like a savvy bet in this matchup.

Jarren Duran (NA) Under 2.5 RBIs (-1000)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Angels gear up to host the Red Sox, all eyes will be on Jarren Duran, but betting on him to drive in more than two runs feels like a stretch. Although Duran has shown flashes of brilliance, he faces a formidable Angels pitching staff that’s been tough on opponents lately. Over the past month, they’ve limited batters to a mere .200 average with runners in scoring position, showcasing their ability to escape high-pressure situations. Moreover, Duran’s recent performance has been inconsistent, often finding himself stranded on base. With an implied probability of nearly 91% for him to remain under 2.5 RBIs, this matchup could favor the Angels' arms, particularly if they can keep the Red Sox lineup in check. Duran may have his moments, but with the current trends favoring the Angels, the under looks like a savvy play in this intriguing clash.

Zach Neto (NA) Under 1.5 Doubles (-2000)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Tonight’s clash between the Angels and Red Sox brings Zach Neto into the spotlight, and betting on him to stay under 1.5 doubles feels like the savvy move. While he’s shown flashes of brilliance this season, Neto has struggled against left-handed pitchers, and Boston’s Chris Sale is no ordinary southpaw. Sale’s strikeout percentage is a staggering 30%, making it tough for hitters to find solid contact. In recent outings, Neto has been mired in a slump, managing just a handful of extra-base hits in his last dozen at-bats. Combine that with the Red Sox's recent defensive resurgence, and you’ve got a recipe for a night where doubles are hard to come by. At the Angels’ home, the pressure's on, and it seems likely that Neto will find himself grounding out rather than finding the gaps. Trusting him to stay under 1.5 doubles could pay off tonight.

Denzer Guzman (NA) Under 1.5 Walks (-1000)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Angels gear up to face the Red Sox, Denzer Guzman’s recent performance makes the 'Under 1.5' walks an intriguing play. Guzman, while showcasing a promising future, has struggled to draw walks lately. In his last handful of games, he’s been more aggressive at the plate, swinging early in counts and putting pressure on pitchers rather than taking a free pass. Additionally, the Red Sox’s pitching staff has been on point, particularly with their ability to limit walks. They’ve been one of the better teams in the league at avoiding issuing free bases, which aligns well with Guzman’s current tendency. With the Angels looking to capitalize on scoring opportunities, Guzman might find himself swinging more than waiting, making this bet on 'Under 1.5' walks a compelling choice as we dive into this matchup. The trends clearly favor a more assertive approach at the plate.

Zach Neto (NA) Under 2.5 Hits (-263)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Angels gear up to face the Red Sox, all eyes will be on rookie Zach Neto. While his potential has been evident, recent trends suggest he may struggle to find consistent success at the plate today. Over his last several games, Neto has seen a significant dip in his batting average, which now hovers around .220. This slump coincides with a challenging matchup against a Red Sox pitching staff that has recently found its rhythm, with starters showcasing an impressive strikeout rate and limiting opposing hitters to a .240 average. Moreover, Boston's bullpen has been particularly effective, often shutting down the lineup with well-placed breaking pitches that can easily catch hitters off balance. Given Neto's current form and the challenging conditions he'll face, banking on him to stay under 2.5 hits feels like a savvy play. Watch for the Red Sox to keep him in check tonight.

Jo Adell (LAA) Under 2.5 Hits (-222)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Angels prepare to host the Red Sox, all eyes will be on Jo Adell, but there’s a compelling case for betting the under on his hits tonight. Adell has been in a bit of a funk lately, struggling to find his rhythm at the plate with only a handful of hits in recent games. The Red Sox, boasting a solid pitching rotation, have particularly excelled against right-handed hitters, which complicates matters for Adell, who tends to thrive against more favorable matchups. Moreover, Adell has faced Boston's starting pitcher in previous encounters, and those outings have often resulted in minimal impact. With the Angels’ lineup showing signs of inconsistency, expecting Adell to break through for more than two hits feels optimistic at best. With the odds leaning towards the under, it’s hard to envision Adell surpassing that 2.5 mark in this matchup.

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