Best MLB Parlay Picks Today, Friday 04/10 (7-Leg) Gavin Sheets Prop Focus: High Probability Baseball Plays

As the Padres gear up to face the Rockies, all eyes should certainly be on Xander Bogaerts, but perhaps not for stolen bases. Despite his impressive skills at the plate, Bogaerts has been cautious on the base paths lately. He’s averaging just 0.5 stolen bases per game this season, and the matchup against the Rockies' catcher, who has a solid throw-down percentage, isn’t exactly conducive to base thievery. Moreover, San Diego’s offense has been more about power than speed, often relying on home runs rather than small ball tactics. With the Rockies’ pitchers still finding their rhythm this season, it's more likely that Bogaerts will focus on making solid contact rather than taking unnecessary risks on the bases. Given these trends, betting on Bogaerts to stay under 1.5 stolen bases feels like a smart play in this matchup.

Edouard Julien (NA) Under 2.5 Singles (-833)

As we gear up for the matchup between the Padres and Rockies on April 11, all eyes should be on Edouard Julien’s singles production. The young slugger has been in a bit of a funk recently, struggling to find consistent contact against right-handed pitchers. With Colorado’s starter, who has been solid against lefties, taking the mound, Julien might find it even tougher to get those base hits. The Padres' strong defense and home-field advantage further complicate things for him. San Diego ranks among the top teams in limiting hits, especially at Petco Park, where the spacious outfield can stifle hitters. Given Julien’s current form and the Rockies’ tendency to struggle on the road, betting on him to stay under 2.5 singles seems like the smart play. With an implied probability of nearly 90%, it’s hard to argue against the trend. Expect a quiet day for Julien at the plate as he navigates this tough matchup.

Brenton Doyle (NA) Under 5.5 Total Bases (-333)

As the Padres host the Rockies on Saturday, all eyes will be on Brenton Doyle and his quest for total bases. However, betting the under on 5.5 might be the play here. Doyle has shown flashes of potential, but the Padres' pitching staff is firing on all cylinders, especially with their ace on the mound. He’s not just racking up strikeouts; he’s limiting hard contact, making life difficult for opposing hitters. Additionally, the Rockies have struggled on the road, with a batting average that dips significantly outside Coors Field. With the Padres' defense behind a strong pitcher and the overall trends favoring a low-scoring affair, Doyle's chances of racking up those bases dwindle. Considering the Padres’ recent form and Doyle’s struggles against tough right-handers, expecting him to stay under that 5.5 mark seems both prudent and well-supported.

Brenton Doyle (NA) Under 2.5 Hits (-333)

As the Padres host the Rockies on Saturday, eyes will be on Brenton Doyle, but the under on his hits total seems like the savvy play. Doyle has been experiencing a rough patch at the plate lately, and facing the Padres’ formidable pitching staff—particularly against right-handers—won’t make things easier. San Diego's starters have been dominant, boasting a stingy ERA that has kept opposing hitters in check. Doyle's recent performance reveals a concerning trend, with only a handful of hits in his last few games and a struggle to find consistent contact. Coupled with the Padres’ stellar defense, which is adept at converting potential hits into outs, the likelihood of Doyle surpassing that 2.5 mark feels slim. Given the current momentum of both teams and Doyle’s challenges, betting the under here seems to align perfectly with the on-field dynamics.

Edouard Julien (NA) Under 2.5 Hits (-500)

As the Padres gear up to face the Rockies, all eyes should be on Edouard Julien, particularly when considering his batting line for this matchup. Julien has been struggling lately, and facing a solid Padres pitching rotation is no walk in the park. The Padres' starters have consistently kept opposing hitters in check, boasting a strikeout rate that hovers near the top of the league. Meanwhile, Julien's recent form shows a stark contrast; he’s been held to just a handful of hits over the last few games. The Rockies, as a team, have also been inconsistent at the plate, making it even tougher for him to find his rhythm. With the line set at 2.5 hits, the under seems like a savvy play, especially considering the Padres’ home advantage and Julien's current slump. It’s shaping up to be a long day for him at the plate.

Jake Cronenworth (SDP) Under 1.5 Walks (-588)

As the San Diego Padres gear up to face the Colorado Rockies, all eyes will be on Jake Cronenworth and his plate discipline. The Rockies’ pitching staff has struggled lately, but Cronenworth has a knack for making contact, particularly against right-handed pitchers, which makes walks less likely. With the Rockies’ bullpen ranking near the bottom in walk rates, the chances of Cronenworth drawing two walks seem slim. Moreover, recent trends don't favor the over here; Cronenworth has been held to under 1.5 walks in a majority of his recent games. Given that the Padres are likely to attack early and aggressively against a struggling Rockies starter, Cronenworth may find himself swinging more than waiting for walks. With all these factors aligning, betting on him to stay under 1.5 walks feels like a smart play in this matchup.