Us Open: Amanda Anisimova vs Iga Swiatek — Iga Swiatek Moneyline (-385)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Iga Swiatek is a strong pick at 1.26 against Amanda Anisimova, given her superior recent form and serve performance. Over her last five matches, Swiatek has an impressive win rate of 80%, highlighting her consistency. She has maintained a first-serve percentage of 65.3% and won 65.8% of her first-serve points, showcasing her effectiveness in service games. Furthermore, her second-serve points won at 43.7% and a break point save percentage of 57.1% suggest resilience under pressure. In contrast, Anisimova has struggled with a lower overall win rate and inconsistent serve stats, which could expose her against Swiatek's strong return game. Given the model probability of 94.98% against the implied probability of 79.37%, there is a significant edge of 15.6% favoring Swiatek. Her superior performance metrics on hard courts make her the value side in this matchup.

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