Here are our Tennis picks for Monday 24 August 2026. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Darja Vidmanova vs Kimberly Birrell: Darja Vidmanova to win the match, priced at +108 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Darja Vidmanova vs Kimberly Birrell: Darja Vidmanova to win the match (+108)

Odds available at matchbook at time of publishing

Darja Vidmanova faces Kimberly Birrell at Monterrey Open on Tuesday 25 August 2026. This is a match winner bet, so it lands if Darja Vidmanova wins the match. It was priced at +108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20.80 if it lands. Our model likes this one a lot. Vidmanova's recent form shows a win rate of 60% over her last five matches, indicating solid performance and resilience. In contrast, Birrell’s recent games suggest vulnerability, especially if her serve metrics are subpar. While specific serving stats are not available, Vidmanova's overall performance in pressure situations (break point save percentage) and her ability to win points on both first and second serves are crucial indicators. Her recent success against similarly ranked opponents further enhances her prospects.

Diane Parry vs Donna Vekic: Diane Parry to win the match (+148)

Odds available at matchbook at time of publishing

Diane Parry faces Donna Vekic at Monterrey Open on Tuesday 25 August 2026. This is a match winner bet, so it lands if Diane Parry wins the match. It was priced at +148 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $24.80 if it lands. Our model leans this way without loving it. Parry's recent form includes a 60% win rate over her last five matches, suggesting good momentum. On serve, her average first-serve percentage stands at an impressive 62.8%, with a solid first-point win rate of 60.5% and a second-point win rate of 50.6%. Additionally, Parry's break point save percentage is strong at 62.5%, indicating resilience under pressure. In contrast, while Vekic has faced decent opponents, her overall serve metrics are inferior, with lower point-winning percentages on both first and second serves. Parry's ability to capitalize on break points coupled with her superior serve performance makes her a compelling pick in this matchup.

That is the model's read on today's Tennis card. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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