Alec Bohm (PHI) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-128)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Phillies gear up to face the Mets on July 18, Alec Bohm's matchup warrants a closer look, particularly regarding his total bases. Despite some flashes of brilliance, Bohm has struggled recently, logging just a .220 batting average over his last 15 games. With a solid Mets pitching rotation looming—especially their ace, who has limited opposing batters to a mere .225 average this season—the odds of Bohm racking up more than 1.5 total bases seem slim. Moreover, the Phillies have been inconsistent at the plate, particularly against left-handed pitchers, which doesn't bode well for Bohm’s chances. With a model prediction suggesting he’ll fall well short of that figure, taking the under on Bohm’s total bases feels like a savvy play. This game could see more pitching dominance than fireworks, making the under a compelling angle to consider.

Jung Hoo Lee (SFG) Under 2.5 Total Bases (-175)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Mariners host the Giants on July 19, 2026, all eyes will be on Jung Hoo Lee, but the smart money may be on the under for his total bases. Lee has been solid, yet recent trends suggest the Giants’ pitching staff, particularly their starter, has found a groove. They've allowed just a .230 batting average over the past month, stifling opposing hitters and leaving little room for extra-base hits. Furthermore, Lee has struggled against left-handed pitching this season, hitting just .240 with a .650 OPS against southpaws. The Giants’ lefty is known for his ability to keep hitters off balance, which only adds to the case for an under bet on Lee’s total bases. With the Mariners’ lineup also facing a tough matchup, it feels like a day where Lee might be limited to singles, if he gets on base at all.

JJ Wetherholt (NA) Under 4.5 Total Bases (-227)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As we turn our attention to the diamond showdown between the Arizona Diamondbacks and the St. Louis Cardinals, the spotlight shines brightly on JJ Wetherholt. While he's shown flashes of brilliance, recent trends suggest he may struggle to surpass the 4.5 total bases mark today. The Diamondbacks’ offense has been a mixed bag lately, with their hitters experiencing a dip in overall production against left-handed pitchers. Given that Wetherholt faces an adept southpaw today, he might find it tough to string together multiple hits. Additionally, the Cardinals’ pitching staff has tightened during their recent road trip, limiting opponents' scoring opportunities significantly. With all this in mind, betting the under on Wetherholt’s total bases seems prudent. His current form, combined with the matchup dynamics, paints a picture of a game where he might fall short of that key number.

Sean Manaea (NA) Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-159)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Phillies host the Mets this Saturday, all eyes will be on Sean Manaea’s strikeout potential. While he’s shown flashes of brilliance this season, recent trends indicate he might not reach the 5.5 strikeouts line. In his last few outings against teams with high-contact lineups, such as the Mets, Manaea has struggled to rack up K's, averaging just under three strikeouts per game. The Mets have been particularly adept at putting the ball in play, as evidenced by their low strikeout rates against left-handed pitchers. With the Phillies’ lineup presenting similar challenges, it’s likely Manaea will find himself navigating more balls in play than swinging strikes. Given these dynamics, betting on the under feels prudent; it aligns with his recent performance trends and the Mets' approach at the plate. Expect a game where the focus shifts more to run support than strikeout dominance.

Luis Arraez (MIN) Under 1.5 Hits (-145)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Seattle Mariners gear up to face the San Francisco Giants, all eyes will be on Luis Arraez, who’s been a consistent force at the plate. However, recent trends suggest he might find the going tough today. The Giants' pitching staff has excelled in limiting hits, boasting an impressive collective WHIP that puts pressure on opposing batters. Arraez, while a solid hitter, faces a lineup that has been adept at neutralizing left-handed bats, which could hinder his chances of getting those hits. Moreover, the Mariners' recent offensive struggles further complicate his path to exceeding the 1.5 hit mark. With the model predicting just 0.61 hits for him today, there’s a compelling case for the under. The combination of the Giants’ strong pitching and Arraez’s recent matchup misfortunes points toward a lower output at the plate, making this under bet a prudent choice.

Trea Turner (WSN) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-133)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Phillies get set to face the Mets, all eyes will be on Trea Turner. While he's certainly a dynamic player, recent trends suggest he might struggle to clear the 1.5 total bases mark today. The Mets’ pitching staff has been surprisingly effective lately, particularly their ace, who has kept opposing hitters in check, showcasing a solid WHIP and limiting extra-base hits. Turner’s bat has cooled off in July, with a notable dip in his slugging percentage against right-handed pitchers. Add to that the fact that the Mets' defense has tightened up significantly, and it’s clear that this matchup isn't favorable for him. With the combination of a tough pitcher on the mound and the current form of the Mets’ defense, betting on Turner to stay under 1.5 total bases feels like the right call. Keep an eye on this matchup; it may just be a quieter day for one of the league's speedsters.

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