Mookie Betts (LAD) Under 1.5 Walks (-385)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Betting on Mookie Betts for Under 1.5 in the Batter Walks market is a solid choice based on his recent performance data. In his last five games, Betts has averaged only 1 walk per game overall, and this drops to 0.8 when playing at home. His performance against the Giants is even more compelling, with an average of just 0.4 walks in the last five games against them. Furthermore, his plate appearances (PA) averages align with these low walk rates, indicating that he is more likely to hit than to walk. This is further supported by his impressive current hit streaks of 4 overall and an outstanding 35 at home. These statistics strongly suggest that Betts is more likely to swing for a hit than to take a walk, making the Under 1.5 bet a statistically sound choice.

Patrick Bailey (SFG) Under 1.5 Singles (-303)

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The under 1.5 bet for Patrick Bailey in the Batter Singles market is a strong choice based on his recent performance data. Despite an impressive overall hit streak, Bailey's average for the last five games in both overall and away singles is below 1 (0.6 and 0.4 respectively), indicating a recent downturn in his batting performance. Moreover, when playing away, Bailey's batting average drops further to 0.4. Furthermore, his performance against the Dodgers specifically also supports this bet, as his average hits against this team is 1.2, still below the 1.5 line. Therefore, considering Bailey's recent performance and his record against the Dodgers, the under 1.5 bet is statistically sound.

Patrick Bailey (SFG) Under 1.5 Hits (-182)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Betting under 1.5 on Patrick Bailey in the Batter Hits market is a statistically sound choice. Bailey's recent performance data supports this. Over the last five games, his overall average hits are 0.6, which is well below the line of 1.5. When playing away, his average hits drop even further to 0.4. Despite a strong current hit streak, the low hit rate in recent games, especially away games, suggests a lower likelihood of him achieving more than 1.5 hits in the upcoming game. Furthermore, his plate appearance averages, both overall and away, are below 4. This means he is not getting many opportunities to hit, further reducing his chances of exceeding 1.5 hits. Therefore, the under 1.5 bet is a reasonable choice based on Bailey's recent performance data.

Ben Rortvedt (TBR) Under 1.5 Singles (-370)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The under 1.5 bet for Ben Rortvedt in the Batter Singles market is backed by clear statistical trends. Rortvedt's average for the last five games overall and away specifically for single hits is significantly below 1.5, at 0.4 and 0.2 respectively. Furthermore, his performance against the Dodgers is even weaker, with an average of zero singles in the last five games. Despite his impressive overall and away hit streaks, these figures include all types of hits, not just singles. Therefore, the streaks do not necessarily indicate a high likelihood of Rortvedt achieving over 1.5 singles in the upcoming game. In conclusion, Rortvedt's recent performance data suggests a strong probability of him falling under the 1.5 singles line in the game against the Dodgers.

Ben Rortvedt (TBR) Under 1.5 Hits (-256)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The under 1.5 hits bet for Ben Rortvedt is a good choice based on his recent performance data. His average hits in the last five games overall and against the Dodgers are both below 1.5, at 0.4 and 0.5 respectively. Furthermore, his performance drops even further when playing away games, with an average of just 0.2 hits in the last five away games. His plate appearances (PA) also decrease in away games, indicating fewer opportunities to hit. Despite his current hit streak, the data shows that he is unlikely to achieve more than 1.5 hits in the upcoming game against the Dodgers. This analysis is backed by the model edge of 11.8% and an implied probability of 71.9%, suggesting a high likelihood of this outcome.

Jose Caballero (TBR) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-345)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The rationale for betting on Jose Caballero for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is primarily based on his recent performance data. His last five games overall show an average stolen base (SB) rate of 0.4, which is under the line of 0.5. Moreover, his performance specifically on away games is even lower, with an average SB rate of 0.2, further strengthening the case for the under bet. Additionally, when facing the Orioles, his SB average is 0.6, which is slightly over the line but not significantly so. His current hit streak on away games is zero, indicating a slump in his performance. Furthermore, the lack of caught stealing (Cs) instances in recent games suggests that Caballero is not attempting many steals. All these factors combined suggest that Caballero is less likely to steal a base in the upcoming game, making the under bet a reasonable choice.

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